NFL matchup
11/01/20264:25 PMEmpower Field at Mile HighDenver, CO

Chiefs5 – 1vsBroncos5 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendDenver Broncos games: +2.56 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Denver Broncos went 5–2 (71.4%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.56 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Kansas City ChiefsAB+A-
Denver BroncosB+A+A
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
KC-122-1.5 (-110)
DEN+102+1.5 (-110)
Total 41.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Kansas City Chiefs

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26@ SEAL 3–20L +3U 43.5
10/18/26vs LACW 22–6W -7.5U 41.5
10/4/26@ LVW 30–27L -3.5O 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Denver Broncos

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26@ ARIW 30–16W -4.5O 44.5
10/15/26vs SEAW 17–14W +3U 40.5
10/11/26@ LACW 23–17W -3U 42.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Chiefs and Broncos
Statistic
350.4 (321.3)Total Yards306.9 (299.4)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Kansas City Chiefs
  • QBPatrick Mahomes
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Pass Completions20.5
  • RBKenneth Walker III
    Player props1 market
    Total Rushing Yards83.5
  • RBEmmett Johnson
  • WRRashee RiceQuestionable
  • WRXavier Worthy
  • WRJalen Royals
  • TETravis Kelce
Denver Broncos
  • QBBo Nix
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Pass Completions20.5
  • RBJ.K. Dobbins
    Player props1 market
    Total Rushing Yards24.5
  • RBJonah Coleman
  • WRJaylen WaddleQuestionable
    Waddle didn't return to Sunday's 30-16 win over the Cardinals due to a chest injury, Parker Gabriel of the Denver Post reports.
    Updated: Oct 25, 2026 at 7:46 PM EDT
  • WRCourtland Sutton
  • WRTroy Franklin
  • TEEvan Engram

Player availability

Injury report

Kansas City Chiefs
  • OTJaylon MooreConcussionQuestionable
  • WRRashee RiceHamstringQuestionable
  • RBBrashard SmithHamstringInjured Reserve
    The Chiefs placed Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday.
    Updated: Oct 24, 2026 at 2:05 PM EDT
Denver Broncos
  • WRJaylen WaddleChestQuestionable
    Waddle didn't return to Sunday's 30-16 win over the Cardinals due to a chest injury, Parker Gabriel of the Denver Post reports.
    Updated: Oct 25, 2026 at 7:46 PM EDT
  • CBPat Surtain IIAnkleQuestionable
  • STalanoa HufangaAnkleQuestionable

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