Thunder4 – 2vsCavaliers4 – 2

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Model value

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Oklahoma City Thunder	D	A	B-
Cleveland Cavaliers	A-	B-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OKC+150+4.5 (-118)

CLE-180-4.5 (-102)

Total 228.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 3 games

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/31/26	@ HOU	L 98–119	L +2.5	U 219.5
10/28/26	@ DAL	L 96–120	L -4.5	U 227.5
10/26/26	vs PHX	W 125–114	W -8.5	O 221.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/31/26	@ MIL	W 136–111	W -8.5	O 234.5
10/29/26	@ ATL	L 111–114	L +1.5	U 237.5
10/28/26	vs WSH	W 121–111	W -9.5	U 240.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Thunder and Cavaliers
	Statistic
37.3 (42.7)	Field Goals Made	43.0 (42.5)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
Player props1 of 11 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%
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SGJared McCain
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
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SFAjay Mitchell
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19766.3%
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PFKenrich Williams
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
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CIsaiah Hartenstein
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists3.5Over+11945.7%Under-15761.1%
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Relevant Bench

CAday Mara
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
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GBennett Stirtz
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
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Cleveland Cavaliers

Expected Starters

PGJames Harden
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
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SGDonovan Mitchell
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
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SFPeyton WatsonDay-To-Day
Watson (hamstring) is questionable to play in Monday's game against Oklahoma City.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 4:57 PM EST
Player props1 of 11 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
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PFEvan Mobley
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16562.3%
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CJarrett Allen
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
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Relevant Bench

GSam Merrill
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
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Player availability

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder

GAlex CarusoAnkleOut
Caruso (ankle) is expected to miss time due to an ankle sprain, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 2:06 PM EDT
GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT

Cleveland Cavaliers

GJaylon TysonAnkleOut
Tyson (ankle) has been ruled out for Monday's game against Oklahoma City.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 4:50 PM EST
GPeyton WatsonHamstringDay-To-Day
Watson (hamstring) is questionable to play in Monday's game against Oklahoma City.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 4:57 PM EST