Celtics5 – 1vsRockets6 – 1

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +2.50 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 5–2 (71.4%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.50 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendBoston Celtics games: +1.54 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Boston Celtics went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.54 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Boston Celtics	D+	A-	B-
Houston Rockets	B	A	B+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

BOS+164+4.5 (-102)

HOU-198-4.5 (-118)

Total 219.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Boston Celtics

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/1/26	@ ORL	W 108–97	W -6.5	U 221.5
10/30/26	vs CHI	W 125–111	L -14.5	U 236.5
10/27/26	vs BKN	W 125–124	L -13.5	O 223.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Rockets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/31/26	vs OKC	W 119–98	W -2.5	U 219.5
10/30/26	@ DAL	L 111–116	L -5.5	O 223.5
10/28/26	@ MIL	W 132–100	W -8.5	O 226.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Celtics and Rockets
	Statistic
36.8 (41.9)	Field Goals Made	42.4 (42.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Boston Celtics

Expected Starters

PGDerrick White
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-19265.8%Under+14540.8%
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SGPaul George
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
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SFJayson Tatum
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14659.3%
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PFJordan Walsh
CMitchell RobinsonOut
Robinson (rest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Magic.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 10:05 AM EST
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Points and Rebounds12.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
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Relevant Bench

GPayton Pritchard
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14141.5%Under-18765.2%
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Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleet
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
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SGAmen Thompson
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
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SFKevin Durant
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13342.9%
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PFJabari Smith Jr.
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13342.9%Under-17663.8%
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CAlperen Sengun
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
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Relevant Bench

GMarcus Smart
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16637.6%
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FTari Eason
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20066.7%
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Player availability

Injury report

Boston Celtics

GDevin CarterIllnessOut
Carter has been diagnosed with mononucleosis and is without a timetable for a return, Gary Washburn of The Boston Globe reports.
Updated: Oct 18, 2026 at 10:49 AM EDT
CMitchell RobinsonRestOut
Robinson (rest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Magic.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 10:05 AM EST

Houston Rockets

CSteven AdamsCalfOut
Head coach Ime Udoka said Monday that Adams could be out "a week or two" due to his right soleus strain, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.
Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 6:52 PM EDT
CClint CapelaAnkleDay-To-Day
Capela (ankle) is questionable to play in Monday's game against the Celtics.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 3:46 PM EST
GReed SheppardBackDay-To-Day
Sheppard (back) is questionable for Monday's game against the Celtics.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 3:41 PM EST