NHL matchup
11/04/20267:30 PMKeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY

Senators9 – 6 – 1vsSabres7 – 4 – 3

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendOttawa Senators games: +3.71 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Ottawa Senators went 10–5 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.71 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendBuffalo Sabres games: +0.86 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Buffalo Sabres went 8–6 (57.1%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.86 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Ottawa SenatorsB-B-B-
Buffalo SabresBC+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT+124+1.5 (-192)
BUF-148-1.5 (+160)
Total 6.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 3 games

Ottawa Senators

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/1/26@ ANAL 3–6L -1.5O 6.5
10/31/26@ SJW 5–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/29/26@ LAL 5–6L -1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Buffalo Sabres

Overall3–0–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/31/26@ LAW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/29/26@ ANAW 7–6L -1.5O 6.5
10/27/26@ SJW 2–0W -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Senators and Sabres
Statistic
28.2 (28.2)Shots28.1 (28.1)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SenatorsSamuel ErssonExpected
SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenExpected
Lineup context

Projected lines

Ottawa Senators
First line
  • CTim Stutzle
  • LWFabian Zetterlund
  • RWDylan Cozens
  • DJake Sanderson
  • DArtem Zub
Buffalo Sabres
First line
  • CPeyton Krebs
  • LWJiri Kulich
  • RWTage Thompson
  • DRasmus Dahlin
  • DMattias Samuelsson

Player availability

Injury report

Ottawa Senators
  • LWAndre BurakovskyLower BodyInjured Reserve
  • GLinus UllmarkLower BodyInjured Reserve
    Ullmark (lower body) is expected to miss the next 1-2 weeks, Claire Hanna of TSN reports Thursday.
    Updated: Oct 22, 2026 at 5:03 PM EDT
  • LWWarren FoegeleKneeInjured Reserve
    Foegele (knee) will miss 3-4 weeks, Jackson Starr of the Senators' official site reports Saturday.
    Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT
Buffalo Sabres
  • CKonsta HeleniusUpper BodyOut
    Helenius (upper body) is week-to-week, according to Matthew Fairburn of The Athletic on Monday.
    Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 12:29 PM EST
  • LWZach BensonUndisclosedDay-To-Day
  • GAlex LyonUpper BodyInjured Reserve
    Lyon (upper body) had a setback in his recovery and is without a timeline to return, the team announced Thursday.
    Updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 1:59 PM EDT

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