NHL matchup
11/08/20263:30 PMKeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY

Golden Knights11 – 5 – 2vsSabres8 – 5 – 3

Sharp side
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Model value
Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendBuffalo Sabres games: +0.88 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Buffalo Sabres went 9–7 (56.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.88 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Vegas Golden KnightsB+B+B+
Buffalo SabresBCB-

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of KeyBank Center in BuffaloGolden Knights vs. Sabres: Can Buffalo keep the game under control?Vegas has won tight finishes, while Buffalo has paired recent defensive restraint with a scoring surge. The goalie choices could shift this close matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
VGK-112-1.5 (+230)
BUF-108+1.5 (-285)
Total 6.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Vegas Golden Knights

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/5/26@ DETW 2–1L -1.5U 6.5
11/3/26@ PITW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
11/2/26@ BOSL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Buffalo Sabres

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/6/26vs CBJW 5–2W -1.5O 6.5
11/4/26vs OTTL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/31/26@ LAW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Golden Knights and Sabres
Statistic
28.6 (28.5)Shots28.2 (28.3)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Golden KnightsCarter HartExpected
SabresColten EllisExpected
Lineup context

Projected lines

Vegas Golden Knights
First line
  • CJack Eichel
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
  • LWBrett Howden
    Player props1 market
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • RWMark Stone
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • DBrayden McNabb
  • DShea Theodore
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
Buffalo Sabres
First line
  • CPeyton Krebs
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38079.2%
  • LWZach Benson
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • RWTage Thompson
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
  • DRasmus Dahlin
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
  • DMattias Samuelsson
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24029.4%Under-33076.7%

Player availability

Injury report

Vegas Golden Knights
  • DParker WotherspoonUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Buffalo Sabres
  • CKonsta HeleniusUpper BodyOut
    Helenius (upper body) is week-to-week, according to Matthew Fairburn of The Athletic on Monday.
    Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 12:29 PM EST
  • GAlex LyonShoulderInjured Reserve
    Lyon (upper body) had a setback in his recovery and is without a timeline to return, the team announced Thursday.
    Updated: Oct 15, 2026 at 1:59 PM EDT
  • RWJustin DanforthUpper BodyInjured Reserve
    Danforth (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Thursday, per the NHL media site.
    Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 6:06 PM EDT

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