NHL matchup
11/08/20266:00 PMCanada Life CentreWinnipeg, MB

Lightning11 – 3 – 2vsJets6 – 8 – 3

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendTampa Bay Lightning games: +2.28 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better in the past month

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Tampa Bay Lightning went 3–2 (60.0%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 2.28 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendTampa Bay Lightning games: +2.50 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Tampa Bay Lightning are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.50 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Tampa Bay LightningA-A-A-
Winnipeg JetsC-C+C

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.Lightning vs. Jets: Winnipeg’s scoring revival faces a tougher testThe Jets have scored 11 goals in two wins, but Tampa Bay's sustained offense asks whether Winnipeg's recovery can extend to keeping the puck out.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TB-148-1.5 (+170)
WPG+124+1.5 (-205)
Total 6.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 3 games

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall3–0–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/7/26@ MINW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5
11/5/26vs CHIW 4–1W -1.5U 6.5
11/3/26vs DETW 4–2W -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Winnipeg Jets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/5/26vs VANW 6–2W -1.5O 6.5
11/3/26@ MTLW 5–4W +1.5O 5.5
11/1/26@ CARL 0–7L +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Lightning and Jets
Statistic
28.7 (28.7)Shots26.2 (26.5)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected
JetsStuart SkinnerExpected
Lineup context

Projected lines

Tampa Bay Lightning
First line
  • CBrayden Point
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
  • LWJake Guentzel
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • RWNikita Kucherov
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
  • DRyan McDonagh
  • DErik Cernak
Winnipeg Jets
First line
  • CMark Scheifele
    Player props1 market
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14041.7%Under-18564.9%
  • LWKyle Connor
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • RWGabriel Vilardi
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
  • DDylan Samberg
  • DNeal Pionk

Player availability

Injury report

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • CYanni GourdeHipInjured Reserve
    Gourde (hip) will miss Thursday's game against Chicago, but he might be available at some point during the upcoming four-game road trip, per Benjamin Pierce of the Lightning's official site.
    Updated: Nov 4, 2026 at 12:51 PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
  • DHaydn FleuryHandDay-To-Day
  • DElias SalomonssonPersonalInjured Reserve
  • DJosh MorrisseyWristInjured Reserve
    Morrissey (wrist) won't play Thursday versus Vancouver, but he hasn't been ruled out for Sunday against Tampa Bay, per Danielle Bain of TSN.
    Updated: Nov 4, 2026 at 4:04 PM EST

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