NHL matchup
11/12/20267:00 PMNationwide ArenaColumbus, OH

Lightning12 – 4 – 2vsBlue Jackets7 – 9 – 0

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendTampa Bay Lightning games: +0.85 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Tampa Bay Lightning went 7–6 (53.8%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.85 units when staking one unit per bet.

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Tampa Bay LightningA-C+B
Columbus Blue JacketsBC+B-

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting inspired by Nationwide Arena in Columbus, with abstracted figures and unbranded architectural details.Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: Can Columbus Keep Up With Kucherov?Tampa Bay arrives after an eight-goal eruption, but Columbus generated plenty of shots in its latest loss. Finishing and the goalie matchup could decide a near-even moneyline.Read analysis Editorial oil painting inspired by Nationwide Arena in Columbus, with abstracted figures and unbranded architectural details.Lightning Parlay Picks vs. Blue Jackets: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Brandon Hagel’s points over and Kent Johnson’s assists under for a Tampa Bay win, with individual DraftKings odds.Read analysis Editorial oil painting inspired by Nationwide Arena in Columbus, with abstracted figures and unbranded architectural details.Blue Jackets Parlay Picks vs. Lightning: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Kent Johnson’s points over and Nikita Kucherov’s shots under for a Columbus win, with individual DraftKings odds.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TB-105-1.5 (+230)
CBJ-115+1.5 (-285)
Total 6.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/11/26@ BUFW 8–3W -1.5O 6.5
11/8/26@ WPGL 3–4L -1.5O 6.5
11/7/26@ MINW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/10/26vs FLAL 1–4L +1.5U 5.5
11/6/26@ BUFL 2–5L +1.5O 6.5
11/5/26vs DALW 2–1W +1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Lightning and Blue Jackets
Statistic
28.7 (28.7)Shots28.4 (28.2)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

LightningDennis HildebyConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves23.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
Blue JacketsJet GreavesConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves24.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Tampa Bay Lightning
First line
  • CJake Guentzel
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
  • LWBrandon Hagel
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22068.8%
  • RWNikita Kucherov
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12045.5%
  • DJohn Carlson
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-16562.3%
Columbus Blue Jackets
First line
  • CAdam Fantilli
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
  • LWMatthew Knies
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+16038.5%Under-21568.3%
  • RWKent Johnson
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
  • DZach Werenski
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
  • DDamon Severson
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%

Player availability

Injury report

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • CAnthony CirelliLower BodyOut
    Cirelli (undisclosed) will miss Thursday's game versus the Blue Jackets, Mark Scheig of The Hockey Writers reports.
    Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 6:04 PM EST
  • DErik CernakUndisclosedOut
  • CBrayden PointUndisclosedInjured Reserve
Columbus Blue Jackets
No current injuries reported

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