NHL matchup
11/12/20267:00 PMScotiabank ArenaToronto, ON

Wild13 – 3 – 4vsMaple Leafs8 – 10 – 2

Sharp side
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Model value
Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendMinnesota Wild games: +4.38 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Minnesota Wild went 10–4 (71.4%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 4.38 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Minnesota WildB+BB
Toronto Maple LeafsC+C-C

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.Wild vs. Maple Leafs Preview: Can Toronto Make Its Offense Count?Minnesota keeps finding ways to win tight games. Toronto needs its scoring bursts to last. The goaltending contrast shapes the moneyline, but makes the 6.5 total a different question.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.Wild Parlay Picks vs. Maple Leafs: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Joel Eriksson Ek’s points over and William Nylander’s assists under for a Minnesota win, with individual DraftKings odds.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.Maple Leafs Parlay Picks vs. Wild: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare William Nylander’s points over and Matt Boldy’s assists under for a Toronto win, with individual DraftKings odds.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
MIN-180-1.5 (+140)
TOR+150+1.5 (-166)
Total 6.5Over -102Under -118
Recent form

Last 3 games

Minnesota Wild

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/10/26@ MTLW 2–1L -1.5U 6.5
11/7/26vs TBL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
11/6/26vs SJW 4–1W -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall0–3–0W–L–TPuck Line0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/10/26vs COLL 3–6L +1.5O 6.5
11/8/26vs NJL 0–4L +1.5U 6.5
11/7/26vs MTLL 2–4L +1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Wild and Maple Leafs
Statistic
29.4 (29.3)Shots26.3 (26.4)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

WildJesper WallstedtConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves24.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
Maple LeafsAnthony StolarzConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves26.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Minnesota Wild
First line
  • CJoel Eriksson Ek
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • LWKirill Kaprizov
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
  • RWMatt Boldy
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • DQuinn Hughes
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15040.0%
  • DJonas Brodin
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28026.3%Under-39079.6%
Toronto Maple Leafs
First line
  • CAuston Matthews
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
  • LWEaston Cowan
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24029.4%Under-33076.7%
  • RWJack Roslovic
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
  • DJake McCabe
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
  • DDarren Raddysh
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%

Player availability

Injury report

Minnesota Wild
  • DBrock FaberSkullInjured Reserve
    Faber (skull) has told the Wild that he's ready to play and expects to return for Saturday's game against the Bruins, Michael Russo of The Athletic reports Wednesday.
    Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 10:34 AM EST
  • GFilip GustavssonHipInjured Reserve
    Gustavsson (hip) will travel with the Wild during the team's upcoming three-game road trip, per Joe Smith of The Athletic.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 1:51 PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
  • DMorgan RiellyLower BodyOut
  • DCade WebberElbowInjured Reserve
  • CColton SissonsLower BodyInjured Reserve

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