Cavaliers6 – 6vsHeat5 – 6

Sharp side

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model trendMiami Heat games: +0.46 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Heat went 6–5 (54.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.46 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Cleveland Cavaliers	A-	B-	B
Miami Heat	A-	C-	B-

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+106+1.5 (-105)

MIA-126-1.5 (-115)

Total 237.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Cleveland Cavaliers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/11/26	@ NY	W 115–107	W +4.5	O 220.5
11/9/26	@ CHA	L 112–124	L -8.5	O 215.5
11/7/26	vs NY	L 97–109	L +4.5	U 222.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Heat

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/10/26	@ UTAH	W 115–109	L -8.5	U 227.5
11/8/26	@ SAC	W 114–108	L -11.5	U 235.5
11/5/26	@ GS	L 100–120	L +3.5	U 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cavaliers and Heat
	Statistic
45.4 (42.1)	Field Goals Made	44.9 (43.2)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers

Expected Starters

PGJames Harden
SGDonovan Mitchell
SFPeyton Watson
PFEvan MobleyOut
Mobley (toe) is out for Friday's game against the Heat.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 5:08 PM EST
CJarrett Allen

Miami Heat

Expected Starters

PGDavion Mitchell
SGKlay ThompsonDay-To-Day
Thompson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Friday's game against the Cavaliers.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:23 PM EST
SFPelle LarssonDay-To-Day
Larsson (illness) is listed as questionable for Friday's game against Cleveland.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:20 PM EST
PFGiannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-Day
Antetokounmpo (wrist) is probable for Friday's game against Cleveland.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:22 PM EST
CBam Adebayo

Player availability

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

CEvan MobleyToeOut
Mobley (toe) is out for Friday's game against the Heat.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 5:08 PM EST
GSam MerrillElbowOut
Merrill (elbow) is listed as out for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
Updated: Nov 10, 2026 at 5:12 PM EST

Miami Heat

FGiannis AntetokounmpoWristDay-To-Day
Antetokounmpo (wrist) is probable for Friday's game against Cleveland.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:22 PM EST
GKlay ThompsonAnkleDay-To-Day
Thompson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Friday's game against the Cavaliers.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:23 PM EST
GPelle LarssonIllnessDay-To-Day
Larsson (illness) is listed as questionable for Friday's game against Cleveland.
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 at 4:20 PM EST