NHL matchup
11/14/20267:00 PMBenchmark International ArenaTampa, FL

Red Wings7 – 10 – 3vsLightning13 – 4 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendTampa Bay Lightning games: +2.80 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Tampa Bay Lightning went 8–5 (61.5%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 2.80 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendDetroit Red Wings games: +0.72 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Detroit Red Wings went 8–6 (57.1%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.72 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Detroit Red WingsCC+C
Tampa Bay LightningA-A-A-

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DET+185+1.5 (-135)
TB-225-1.5 (+114)
Total 6.5Over +114Under -135
Recent form

Last 3 games

Detroit Red Wings

Overall0–3–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/12/26@ FLAL 4–5W +1.5O 5.5
11/10/26@ STLL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
11/7/26@ COLL 0–4L +1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
11/12/26@ CBJW 3–1W +1.5U 6.5
11/11/26@ BUFW 8–3W -1.5O 6.5
11/8/26@ WPGL 3–4L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Wings and Lightning
Statistic
28.1 (28.2)Shots28.6 (28.6)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Red WingsDaniil TarasovConfirmed
LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected
Lineup context

Projected lines

Detroit Red Wings
First line
  • CEmmitt Finnie
  • LWAlex DeBrincat
  • RWViktor Arvidsson
  • DWilliam Wallinder
  • DMoritz Seider
Tampa Bay Lightning
First line
  • CJake Guentzel
  • LWBrandon Hagel
  • RWNikita Kucherov
  • DJohn Carlson

Player availability

Injury report

Detroit Red Wings
  • DAlbert JohanssonUndisclosedInjured Reserve
    Johansson (undisclosed) will be with the Red Wings for their upcoming four-game road trip, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports Friday.
    Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST
  • CDylan LarkinSuspensionInjured Reserve
  • DSimon EdvinssonContract DisputeInjured Reserve
    Edvinsson (contract dispute) is on the Red Wings' injured, non-roster list, per the NHL media site Wednesday.
    Updated: Oct 14, 2026 at 11:15 AM EDT
Tampa Bay Lightning
  • CAnthony CirelliLower BodyDay-To-Day
  • DErik CernakUpper BodyDay-To-Day
  • CBrayden PointUndisclosedInjured Reserve

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