NHL matchup

11/14/20267:00 PMPPG Paints ArenaPittsburgh, PA

Senators12 – 6 – 2vsPenguins7 – 10 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendPittsburgh Penguins games: +8.32 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Pittsburgh Penguins went 14–5 (73.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 8.32 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

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Model value

Model trendOttawa Senators games: +0.87 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better in the past month

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Ottawa Senators went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.87 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Ottawa Senators	B	B-	B-
Pittsburgh Penguins	B	C	C+

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

OTT-130-1.5 (+195)

PIT+110+1.5 (-238)

Total 6.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Last 3 games

Ottawa Senators

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/12/26	vs COL	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 6.5
11/10/26	vs WSH	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
11/7/26	vs UTAH	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/11/26	@ SJ	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
11/8/26	@ ANA	L 2–5	L +1.5	O 6.5
11/7/26	@ LA	W 5–2	W +1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Senators and Penguins
	Statistic
28.5 (28.4)	Shots	28.3 (28.3)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SenatorsSamuel ErssonExpected

PenguinsArturs SilovsExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Ottawa Senators

First line

CTim Stutzle
LWFabian Zetterlund
RWDylan Cozens
DJake Sanderson
DArtem Zub

Pittsburgh Penguins

First line

CSidney Crosby
LWRickard Rakell
RWEvgeni Malkin
DSpencer Stastney
DErik Karlsson

Player availability

Injury report

Ottawa Senators

CNick CousinsUpper BodyOut
LWAndre BurakovskyLower BodyInjured Reserve
LWWarren FoegeleKneeInjured Reserve
Foegele (knee) will miss 3-4 weeks, Jackson Starr of the Senators' official site reports Saturday.
Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT

Pittsburgh Penguins

RWBryan RustLower BodyInjured Reserve
Rust (lower body) will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Michelle Crechiolo of the Penguins' official site reports Thursday.
Updated: Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM EDT
LWElmer SoderblomUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Soderblom (upper body) is week-to-week, per Penguins PR on Monday.
Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 10:52 AM EST
DRyan GravesKneeInjured Reserve
Graves (lower body) is out indefinitely and was placed on injured reserve Sunday.
Updated: Sep 27, 2026 at 11:21 AM EDT