Cale Makar put six shots on net without a point in Colorado’s latest win over New Jersey. That distinction matters if you’re backing Calgary to beat the Avalanche: an active Colorado star can still finish below a point total. These Flames parlay picks compare Makar’s under with a low shooting target for Matvei Gridin and an assist under that still allows Gabriel Landeskog to score.
For a hypothetical Calgary win, Gridin offers a Flames shooting target while the two unders leave room for Avalanche offense. Makar can finish on one point; Landeskog can score as long as he doesn’t assist. Compare those different limits before choosing which, if any, fit your view of the game.
Flames parlay picks: a shot and two different unders
The records cover completed appearances with each player’s current club from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, including the playoffs. Each all-game comparison uses the same club, dates and participation rules as its Calgary-win or Colorado-loss record. Gridin’s nineteen wins are a smaller sample than the broader histories behind the two Colorado options.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Gridin 1+ shot on goal |
−600 | 94.7% 18 of 19 Flames wins |
90.0% 45 of 50 appearances |
| Cale Makar Under 1.5 points |
−235 | 93.9% 31 of 33 Avalanche losses |
76.5% 75 of 98 appearances |
| Gabriel Landeskog Under 0.5 assists |
−320 | 92.3% 24 of 26 Avalanche losses |
70.9% 61 of 86 appearances |
These are individual DraftKings prices captured on October 31, and they can change. The records describe past games rather than the probability of a future parlay winning.
Matvei Gridin — 1+ shot on goal (−600)
Gridin has put plenty on net in Calgary’s recent wins: four shots against Detroit, then five against Toronto and five against Seattle. The one-shot target doesn’t need him to repeat those totals or turn a chance into a goal.
It’s also much more expensive than two shots at −150. In his fifty Flames appearances, the one-shot target cleared eighteen of nineteen wins and forty-five appearances overall; two shots cleared thirteen of nineteen wins and twenty-nine appearances overall. Paying −600 kept five more Calgary wins in that history, with a much smaller payout for taking on another possible failure.
Both offers have cleared all six Calgary wins this season, so the current winning games haven’t separated them yet. The broader record supplies the reason to consider one. The recent 4–0 loss at Edmonton also landed exactly on one shot, despite 22:31 on the ice. That belongs in his overall history, not the Calgary-win record, but it shows that a longer night doesn’t always produce a second shot.
The only shotless Calgary win in this sample came against Los Angeles in April. Gridin had an assist but no shots in 18:34, including 4:08 on the power play. He’s also had two shotless games this season, including an assist in the loss at Vegas. A point and a shot are different things to ask for.
He’s expected on the second line with Martin Pospisil and Ryan Strome. His average ice time is about 15:45 this season versus 15:10 last season, so the history isn’t relying on a major increase in minutes. The target has a strong record, but nineteen wins remain a limited foundation for such a heavy price. Choose the extra room only if it’s worth that cost to you.
Cale Makar — under 1.5 points (−235)
This under lets Makar record a goal or an assist. It only fails when he gets to two points, so it doesn’t require Calgary to erase him from the game. The latest six-shot, zero-point night against New Jersey is one way an active Makar appearance can stay below the line—even in a Colorado win.
His assist under at +120 asks for something different: no assists, while still allowing goals. It cleared twenty of thirty-three Colorado losses and forty-seven of ninety-eight appearances overall. The point cap cleared thirty-one of those losses and seventy-five appearances overall. Those are different markets, and a two-goal night without an assist would lose the point under while leaving the assist under intact.
Against Toronto this season, Makar had one assist in the 6–3 loss. The point under allowed that contribution; the assist under wouldn’t have. His only two-point game in this season’s six Colorado losses was the 4–3 defeat at New Jersey, with two assists in 22:34, including 1:56 on the power play. Losing the game didn’t prevent him from setting up enough offense to break this under.
That leaves five of six current losses below 1.5 points and eight of twelve appearances overall. His average ice time has come down to about 22:26 from 24:55 last season, but he’s still expected on the top defensive pair with Devon Toews. Josh Manson is listed out, so this isn’t a case for assuming Makar will have little to do.
The earlier 7–3 Colorado win over Calgary brought him two goals and an assist. It’s outside the Colorado-loss column, but it’s useful evidence of the scoring threat you’re taking on at −235. This route gives one point some room; it doesn’t make a multi-point night impossible just because you’re backing the Flames.
Gabriel Landeskog — under 0.5 assists (−320)
Landeskog scored in Colorado’s losses to Dallas and New Jersey this season without an assist in either. His latest game, a win over New Jersey, also brought a goal without an assist. This under can survive his finishing, which is an important distinction from needing him to stay off the scoresheet.
The point under is much lighter at −140, but it cleared seventeen of twenty-six Colorado losses and forty of eighty-six appearances overall. The assist under cleared twenty-four of those losses and sixty-one appearances overall. The extra cost leaves Landeskog’s own goals out of the requirement, keeping seven more losses in that record.
He’s gone without an assist in all six Colorado losses this season and ten of thirteen appearances overall. That doesn’t mean his passing has disappeared. He assisted in the win over Tampa Bay in just 11:51, and he’s expected alongside Brock Nelson and Nicolas Roy. A modest amount of ice time can still be enough to help create a goal.
The latest assist in a Colorado loss in this history came in May’s 5–1 playoff defeat to Minnesota. Landeskog recorded one in 20:40, including 4:16 on the power play. It’s a useful reminder that even a one-goal team night can give one player the assist that spoils an under.
His average ice time is lower now, about 15:14 compared with 16:56 last season. That supports examining the current role rather than assuming the same workload as the older playoff games. At −320, you’re paying to allow goals while avoiding an assist; you aren’t getting a guarantee that a Calgary win will keep him from setting one up.
Decide what Colorado can still do
The two unders leave different room for Avalanche offense. Makar can have one point, while Landeskog can score goals as long as he doesn’t assist. If that fits your view of a Calgary win, you don’t have to make every choice depend on Colorado being shut down entirely.
Gridin gives you a Calgary shooting route instead, with a clear cost difference between one shot and two. You can choose one option without adding the others. If you combine selections, check the sportsbook’s actual quote; these separate histories and prices don’t establish a combined return or success rate.
Follow the live Flames–Avalanche matchup or explore more NHL parlay ideas.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.