Calgary’s power play gives Matvei Gridin room for the shot he likes from the left circle. If you’re backing the Flames in Los Angeles, his shots prop fits a win where Calgary keeps getting the puck to him in shooting positions.
Artemi Panarin’s points under fits a Calgary win built on slowing down the Kings’ best playmaker. He has usually stayed below two points in Los Angeles losses, and the line leaves room for him to set up a goal.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Gridin Over 1.5 shots on goal |
−180 | 87.5% 7 of 8 Flames wins |
68.4% 13 of 19 Flames games |
| Artemi Panarin Under 1.5 points |
−230 | 84.6% 22 of 26 Kings losses |
69.8% 30 of 43 Kings games |
Matvei Gridin to put two shots on goal
In Calgary’s 5–2 win over Toronto, Gridin scored from the left circle at even strength and again on the power play. He finished with five shots on goal. He also put three on net in Wednesday’s loss to the Rangers, so the shots can be there even when Calgary’s finishing dries up.
Four of his seven hits in Flames wins this season landed on exactly two. His only miss in a win was the 2–1 game at San Jose, when he put one shot on net. I’d stay at two if your read is that he’ll get a few chances from the circle but Calgary may have to spend long stretches defending.
Artemi Panarin under 1.5 points
Panarin and Kevin Fiala set up Quinton Byfield’s power-play goal against the Islanders on Thursday. That was Panarin’s only point. Calgary can live with one play like that, but giving the Kings repeated looks with the man advantage makes it easier for Panarin to get a second.
The 5–4 overtime loss at San Jose is the clearest example of how the under can miss. Panarin had a goal and an assist, including a power-play one-timer off a feed from Byfield. At this price, I’d want a Calgary win built on keeping the game tight and staying out of the box.
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Which prop fits a Flames win?
I’d start with Gridin if you expect Calgary to spend enough time in the offensive zone to get him shooting. If your Calgary pick rests more on the Flames keeping the Kings to one or two goals, Panarin’s under fits that read.
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