Jalen Johnson grabbed seven rebounds against Charlotte and seven against Brooklyn. Atlanta won both games, and one extra board in either would have changed the result at the eight-rebound line. Dyson Daniels gives you a lower number to look at in the same matchup.
If you’re backing Atlanta against the Lakers, look at what Johnson and Daniels did on the glass in Hawks wins, then compare that with all their Atlanta appearances over the same two seasons.
Two Hawks parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | In Hawks wins | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels 6+ rebounds 2025–26 and 2026–27 regular seasons |
−172 | 80.4% 41 of 51 ATL wins |
72.4% 63 of 87 appearances |
| Jalen Johnson 7+ rebounds 2025–26 and 2026–27 regular seasons |
−345 | 91.3% 42 of 46 ATL wins |
90.0% 72 of 80 appearances |
Dyson Daniels: 6+ rebounds
Daniels reached six in six of his seven Atlanta wins this season. Five would have produced the same record in those seven games, but DraftKings priced five at −332 and six at −172. The lower line would have covered three additional wins across the longer sample. Neither would have covered the Orlando win, when he finished with four.
Jalen Johnson: 7+ rebounds
Johnson reached seven in all four of his Atlanta wins this season. He stopped at seven against Charlotte and Brooklyn, so eight would have missed twice. Across the longer sample, eight would have hit in 37 of 46 wins at a quoted −197, compared with −345 for seven. Seven has been almost as common across all his Atlanta appearances, which makes this more of a threshold choice than a pattern unique to wins.
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What to weigh with an Atlanta win
Daniels is the lighter price if you’re comfortable asking him for six. Johnson has reached seven more often, and his Charlotte and Brooklyn games show what the extra cost buys you compared with eight. Both are chasing boards in the same game, so those individual records don’t tell you how often both will hit. Follow the live Lakers at Hawks matchup and our NBA coverage.
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