Brandon Hagel put three shots on net in Tampa Bay’s 4–1 win over Chicago, while Nikita Kucherov finished without a point. If you’re backing another Lightning win, that game is a useful reminder to choose the contribution you want alongside it.
These Lightning parlay picks look at Hagel’s shooting and Kucherov’s scoring in Tampa Bay wins, plus Joel Eriksson Ek’s assists in Minnesota losses. Side & Support compares each with his full record over the same period, so you can weigh a shot target, a goal-or-assist route and an opposing assist under.
Lightning parlay picks: shots, a point and an assist under
Hagel’s table row covers this season’s Tampa Bay appearances. Kucherov and Eriksson Ek use regular-season appearances with their current clubs since October 1, 2025, including this season. Ten current Lightning wins and six current Wild losses are still small samples. Individual DraftKings prices were captured on November 7 and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | Tampa Bay wins / Minnesota losses | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots on goal |
−140 | 90.0% 9 of 10 TB wins · this season |
80.0% 12 of 15 appearances · this season |
| Nikita Kucherov 1+ point |
−340 | 86.2% 50 of 58 TB wins · since Oct. 2025 |
78.0% 71 of 91 appearances · since Oct. 2025 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek Under 0.5 assists |
−185 | 91.4% 32 of 35 MIN losses · since Oct. 2025 |
61.4% 54 of 88 appearances · since Oct. 2025 |
Brandon Hagel over 2.5 shots on goal (−140)
Hagel has reached three shots in nine of Tampa Bay’s ten wins this season. His latest three against Chicago came in 16:48, after just one shot in the previous win over Detroit despite 22:05 on the ice. The Detroit game is his only winning appearance this season below this target.
The lower two-shot milestone was −425, compared with −140 for over 2.5 shots. Hagel reached both targets in exactly the same nine current wins. Across all fifteen appearances this season, he had at least two shots in thirteen games and at least three in twelve. Paying more for two shots would have helped in one additional appearance overall, but it wouldn’t have changed that Detroit result.
The older record does favor the extra room: he had at least two shots in 44 of 53 Lightning wins since October 1, 2025, compared with 37 for three shots. Across all 86 appearances in that period, the records were 69 at two shots and 54 at three. That’s a much less consistent three-shot record than this season’s nine of ten. The attraction at −140 is his recent volume and the price difference; you’re giving up protection against a two-shot night.
Nikita Kucherov 1+ point (−340)
Kucherov gives you a choice between asking for a goal or assist and needing another multi-point night. He reached one point in 50 of 58 Tampa Bay wins in the longer sample, while the two-point milestone, offered at +130, reached 39. Across all 91 appearances, the corresponding records were 71 for one point and 47 for two. The lower target at −340 buys eleven more winning appearances in that comparison.
That flexibility also matters against an assist-only bet. Kucherov scored twice without an assist in the win over Vancouver. Both goals count toward a point milestone; neither would help an assist over.
The price doesn’t make the latest miss disappear. Tampa Bay scored four against Chicago and won, but Kucherov had no points in 20:26. He also went scoreless in the Seattle win earlier this season, leaving his current record at eight of ten wins and eleven of fifteen appearances overall. Three straight scoreless playoff appearances at the end of April and start of May add another caution beside the stronger regular-season history.
Joel Eriksson Ek under 0.5 assists (−185)
Eriksson Ek has gone without an assist in all six Minnesota losses this season. That doesn’t mean he needs to finish without a point: he scored in the losses to Edmonton and the Islanders and had no helpers in either.
That’s the useful difference between this under at −185 and under 0.5 points at +115. The point under would have covered only four of those six current losses and 26 of 35 in the longer Minnesota sample. Keeping the bet to assists leaves a goal-only night open; the assist under covered 32 of those 35 losses. Across all 88 appearances, the corresponding records were 39 without a point and 54 without an assist.
He remains involved in Minnesota’s offense. He had an assist in the Wild’s latest 4–1 win over San Jose, and he recorded a helper in an older loss to Colorado while playing 21:34. A Tampa Bay win can fit this under without requiring a quiet Minnesota night, but it won’t erase his ability to set up a goal.
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Pick the contribution that fits your Tampa Bay view
The price gap matters most with Hagel: paying for two shots adds room for a two-shot night, but didn’t cover another Lightning win this season. If that extra room matters more than the payout, his older record gives you a reason to consider it. If you’d rather let a Minnesota player score, Eriksson Ek’s assist under keeps that route open.
There’s no need to take all three. Hagel and Kucherov share Tampa Bay’s offense, and these separate player records don’t establish a combined parlay price or probability.
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