Nikola Jokić had eight assists in Denver’s win over Indiana. It was the only Nuggets win this season in which he fell short of 10. That game helps explain why the cheaper of his two assist lines is worth a look.
If you’re backing Denver in Memphis, these Nuggets parlay picks look at Jokić’s assists in Denver wins and at Cedric Coward’s rebounds and Ty Jerome’s assists in Memphis losses.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić Over 9.5 assists |
−103 | 80.0% 4 of 5 Denver wins |
55.6% 5 of 9 appearances |
| Cedric Coward Over 6.5 rebounds |
−118 | 100.0% 3 of 3 Memphis losses |
88.9% 8 of 9 appearances |
| Ty Jerome Under 5.5 assists |
−134 | 100.0% 3 of 3 Memphis losses |
66.7% 6 of 9 appearances |
Nikola Jokić over 9.5 assists
Jokić reached 10 assists in both wins over New Orleans and against Phoenix, then had 11 in the win over Toronto. Denver’s next two games show how close this can get. He finished with eight in the Indiana win and nine in the loss at Houston.
DraftKings listed nine or more at −170 and over 9.5 at −103. The lower line would have covered Houston, but both lines still missed against Indiana and hit in the same four Denver wins. The longer view tempers the over as well. Jokić reached 10 assists in 36 of 50 Denver wins across this season and last, including the playoffs.
Cedric Coward over 6.5 rebounds
Coward grabbed nine rebounds in each Memphis loss, including the Oklahoma City game when he played just 23 minutes. Seven boards has also been within reach in wins. He got there in five of his six winning appearances, so his rebounding is an option even if Memphis keeps this game close.
He finished with six in Toronto, his only miss this season. His longer Memphis record gives you a reason to be cautious about that early run. Across this season and last, he reached seven in 19 of 45 losses and 32 of 71 appearances overall. The −118 case rests on what he’s doing this season.
Ty Jerome under 5.5 assists
Jerome scored 27 in the win at Toronto and had only two assists. He can have a productive shooting night while staying under this line. In Memphis’s three losses, he finished with five, three and five assists.
That pair of fives leaves little room at −134, the shortest price in the table. He’s also reached six assists in three wins, including eight against Utah. If you see Memphis getting plenty of baskets off Jerome’s passes, Coward’s rebounding gives you a different way to read the game.
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Choosing your Nuggets parlay picks
If your Denver pick hinges on Jokić creating shots for teammates, the 10-assist target pays more than the nine-assist line. If you’d rather follow the glass, Coward has reached seven boards in wins as well as losses. Jerome’s under fits a game where he does more of his damage as a scorer.
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