Edmonton beat the Islanders 4–0 last weekend with only one Connor McDavid point. Evan Bouchard still recorded an assist. That win captures the choice facing Oilers backers: ask McDavid for a bigger share of the scoring, or pay more for a single Bouchard assist.
These Oilers parlay picks put those two contributions beside a quieter shooting night for Anaheim’s Jackson LaCombe. If you’re backing Edmonton against the Ducks, we look at McDavid’s points and Bouchard’s assists in Oilers wins, then LaCombe’s shots in Anaheim losses. You can choose the contribution that fits your view without taking all three.
Oilers parlay picks: scoring support and a Ducks shot under
These records cover this season’s completed regular-season appearances with each player’s current club. Eleven Edmonton wins and eight Anaheim losses are small samples; each all-game comparison uses the same dates and participation rules.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid Over 1.5 points |
−155 | 81.8% 9 of 11 EDM wins |
68.8% 11 of 16 appearances |
| Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists |
−205 | 90.9% 10 of 11 EDM wins |
87.5% 14 of 16 appearances |
| Jackson LaCombe Under 1.5 shots on goal |
−130 | 100.0% 8 of 8 ANA losses |
86.7% 13 of 15 appearances |
Connor McDavid — Over 1.5 points (−155)
McDavid’s target is two points, whether they come from goals, assists or a combination. His recent wins show several ways to get there: two assists against Calgary, a goal and an assist against the Rangers, and five points against Carolina. At −155, it’s the less expensive of the two Edmonton scoring options here, but it needs more than one successful play on the scoresheet.
The Islanders win is the useful warning. McDavid finished with one assist despite Edmonton scoring four times. He also had only one point in the October 10 win over San Jose, the other miss in his 11 winning appearances. Most recently, he had one assist in the loss at New Jersey. An Oilers win has often accompanied two McDavid points this season; it hasn’t made that contribution automatic.
The longer comparison is less convincing than the current table: from October 1, 2025, through the same cutoff, he reached two points in 40 of 52 Edmonton wins, versus 54 of 98 appearances overall. That leaves 12 wins in which he didn’t reach two points. He’s expected to center the first line again, but his current run has been stronger than that longer history.
Evan Bouchard — Over 0.5 assists (−205)
Bouchard asks for one assist and charges more for it. He recorded one in the wins over Calgary and the Islanders, then two against the Rangers. Those games explain why his passing is a useful alternative if you like Edmonton but don’t want to require a McDavid multi-point night.
His assist record holds up better over the longer window, too: 43 of 52 Oilers wins and 65 of 98 appearances overall since October 1, 2025. The current winning-game miss came against Seattle on October 3. He also went without a point in the more recent loss at Detroit, despite playing 31:41, so substantial minutes alone haven’t guaranteed an assist.
At the quoted board, Bouchard’s over 1.5 points was +145, but that needs two points rather than one assist. His single assist against Calgary and single assist against the Islanders would clear this target and miss that points over. The −205 price buys a lower requirement; it doesn’t make the two markets interchangeable. Bouchard is listed on the expected first defense pair.
Jackson LaCombe — Under 1.5 shots on goal (−130)
LaCombe can contribute offensively without putting many pucks on net himself. In Anaheim’s recent losses to Vancouver and Buffalo, he recorded three assists and two assists, respectively, while taking one shot in each game. That is the distinction behind this under: it allows an active passing night, provided he finishes with no more than one official shot on goal.
All eight Ducks losses this season stayed below two LaCombe shots, but the broader record is a substantial caution. Since October 1, 2025, he finished with fewer than two shots in 28 of 47 Anaheim losses and 55 of 97 appearances overall. The current perfect loss sample is a sharp change from that history, not a dependable ceiling on his shooting. He took two shots in the recent Ottawa win, then none in the latest Vancouver win.
LaCombe’s −130 is lighter than Leo Carlsson’s under 2.5 shots at −165 on the same board. Carlsson stayed under in seven of eight Ducks losses and 14 of 15 appearances overall; LaCombe stayed below his line more often in the current loss sample, but his much weaker older record is a reason to be cautious about that comparison. His expected first-pair role and recent workload also matter: this is a shot-volume view, not a bet on him barely playing.
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Choose the contribution that fits your Edmonton view
If you expect McDavid to drive the scoring, two points offers the lighter Edmonton price. Bouchard’s assist asks for less production and has the more consistent longer record, with a higher cost. LaCombe’s under provides a different angle on the opposing defenseman, but deserves particular care because the older numbers disagree with the current streak. The two Edmonton scoring props can overlap on the same goals; their individual records should not be multiplied into a parlay probability.
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