Evan Bouchard scored Edmonton’s only goal in Saturday’s 1–0 win at Toronto. Three nights earlier, he scored in overtime to beat Philadelphia. The Oilers get the Flyers again Sunday, this time on the road.
If you’re backing Edmonton to win, Bouchard gives you a way to follow the chances the Oilers create from the blue line. Philadelphia can still get a goal from Matvei Michkov, whose assist line depends on how often he can set up someone else.
Player props for an Oilers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 points |
−210 | 86.7% 13 of 15 EDM wins |
85.7% 18 of 21 games |
| Matvei Michkov Under 0.5 assists |
−270 | 87.5% 14 of 16 PHI losses |
77.3% 17 of 22 games |
Evan Bouchard over 0.5 points
Bouchard helped set up Zach Hyman’s power-play goal against Philadelphia before scoring in overtime. At Toronto he took Connor McDavid’s pass at the point and beat the goalie with a slap shot. If Philadelphia’s penalty killers collapse toward Hyman near the net, watch whether Bouchard has room to shoot or move the puck across the top.
At −210, the point line costs more than his assist over at −135. Saturday’s goal without an assist shows what the higher price buys. The point rate is nearly the same in Edmonton wins and overall this season. The 3–1 win over the Rangers is a reminder that Edmonton can win without him on the scoresheet, especially when the power play comes up empty.
Matvei Michkov under 0.5 assists
Michkov scored on an unassisted breakaway against Columbus on Saturday. If Edmonton can stay with the other Flyers when he carries the puck into the zone, he can still put pressure on the net without setting up a goal.
He went without an assist in 14 of Philadelphia’s 16 losses, but Wednesday against Edmonton was one of the two exceptions. Michkov had the second assist on Travis Sanheim’s tying goal. At −270, even a secondary assist can undo the under. Watch whether the Flyers can hold possession long enough to get their defensemen involved.
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What to watch early in Philadelphia
Watch how much time Bouchard has at the point, especially if Edmonton gets an early power play. The Michkov under depends more on the Oilers tracking the other skaters when he has possession.
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