Ivica Zubac pulled down nine offensive rebounds against the Knicks on Friday, in a game Indiana won by two. He missed the first meeting with Philadelphia, so the Pacers bring a different look inside to a rematch that Joel Embiid will miss.
If you see Indiana winning this one, watch how Pascal Siakam gets his threes and whether Zubac can finish plays around the rim. At the other end, keeping Jaylen Brown from taking over as a scorer gives the Pacers another way to stay in front.
Player props for a Pacers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam Over 1.5 made threes |
−120 | 80.0% 4 of 5 IND wins |
58.3% 7 of 12 games |
| Ivica Zubac Under 2.5 assists |
−178 | 100.0% 5 of 5 IND wins |
87.5% 7 of 8 games |
| Jaylen Brown Under 23.5 points |
−114 | 100.0% 3 of 3 PHI losses |
66.7% 8 of 12 games |
Pascal Siakam over 1.5 made threes
Siakam scored 26 against Philadelphia in the first meeting and missed all three of his shots from deep. With Zubac back, Indiana can put a finisher near the rim and give Siakam some possessions on the perimeter. That creates a path to two threes if the Sixers’ help drifts toward the paint.
Siakam has made at least two in four of the five Indiana wins he’s played, with exactly two in three of those four. He got there on four attempts against the Knicks and seven against Washington. If he spends more of this game attacking inside, he could score well again while this line stays under.
Ivica Zubac under 2.5 assists
Zubac scored 20 with one assist against Washington and had one assist again against New York. Facing a Philadelphia frontcourt without Embiid, he can help Indiana by rolling to the rim and putting back misses. Those plays can make him central to a win while the guards do most of the passing.
He’s stayed under in all five wins he’s played and seven of eight games overall, so the low assist totals are common either way. The price is steep at −178, and he had five assists in 19 minutes against Denver. If Philadelphia sends extra help on his catches or Indiana asks him to make more reads with Andrew Nembhard questionable, those passes could add up.
Jaylen Brown under 23.5 points
Brown had 20 points on 13 shots in the first meeting. Philadelphia still put four players in the 20s and won. From Indiana’s side, the under fits if the Pacers can make Brown take contested shots and avoid sending him to the line when he drives.
Brown stayed below 24 in all three Philadelphia losses he played, including 13 points on nine shots against Boston in just under 26 minutes. With Embiid out, Brown could see more chances to score. He did finish with 16 in 40 minutes against Detroit without Embiid, so extra time on the floor doesn’t settle the question.
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Where might Indiana find the difference?
Siakam’s threes fit if you see Indiana creating room outside by making Philadelphia guard the rim. Zubac’s under makes more sense if you expect him to finish plays the guards create. If you see Indiana winning through its defense, Brown’s points give you a way to follow how it handles one of the Sixers’ main scorers.
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