Pascal Siakam scored exactly 20 points when Indiana beat Memphis. That’s enough for the 20+ points option here, but short of his current over-21.5 line. If you’re backing the Pacers against Denver, that difference makes the scoring target worth choosing carefully.
These Pacers parlay picks compare Siakam’s scoring in Indiana wins with two different Denver contributions in Nuggets losses: Christian Braun staying below two threes and Jamal Murray grabbing at least five rebounds. That’s the Side & Support idea for this matchup—use your view of an Indiana win to choose the past team results worth examining, then put each prop beside its all-game record. The options give you different routes, rather than a fixed three-leg bet.
Pacers parlay picks: Siakam’s scoring and Denver’s supporting players
The table uses current-club appearances in the 2026–27 regular season. Indiana has three wins and Denver has three losses so far, so the longer records in the player sections matter when judging these perfect early samples.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam 20+ points |
−158 | 100.0% 3 of 3 IND wins |
75.0% 6 of 8 appearances |
| Christian Braun Under 1.5 threes |
−137 | 100.0% 3 of 3 DEN losses |
71.4% 5 of 7 appearances |
| Jamal Murray Over 4.5 rebounds |
−103 | 100.0% 3 of 3 DEN losses |
71.4% 5 of 7 appearances |
Pascal Siakam: 20+ points at −158
Siakam scored 30 in the win over New Orleans, 21 in the victory at Brooklyn and 20 against Memphis. Asking for twenty keeps all three in play. His points over 21.5 was −102, but the latest two victories wouldn’t have covered that line.
You could pay more for eighteen or more points at −256. That buys two points of room, though it wouldn’t have changed any of his winning-game results this season. The 20+ choice costs less at −158 and lets exactly twenty count.
There’s more behind this one than three wins: across his recorded Indiana appearances from October 2025 onward, Siakam reached twenty in 19 of 20 victories and 55 of 70 games overall. The exception was an 11-point game in January’s win over Miami. It’s a strong historical association, not a requirement for Indiana to win.
The recent scoring has also had its quiet nights. He had 13 against Miami and 17 in the home loss to Brooklyn, then sat out Atlanta for rest before returning for 30 minutes against Memphis. Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton, but more responsibility doesn’t make twenty points automatic.
Christian Braun: under 1.5 threes at −137
Braun made one three in each of Denver’s three defeats. He went one-for-two from deep against Portland and one-for-one against Toronto in his latest two games. That’s enough shooting to contribute without beating this under. One make is fine here; the second is what beats the bet.
The longer Denver comparison supports looking at it alongside a Pacers-win view. From October 2025 onward, Braun stayed below two threes in 15 of 18 Nuggets losses and 38 of 51 appearances overall. That broader record is useful support, while still including three losing games in which he made at least two.
His seven threes on nine attempts in the recent win over Phoenix are the reason not to confuse this with a bet on a player who can’t get hot. He also made three in the win at New Orleans. The −137 under asks him to stay at zero or one against Indiana; it doesn’t mean a Denver loss would shut down his shooting.
Jamal Murray: over 4.5 rebounds at −103
Murray offers an opposing over if you expect Indiana to win without every Nugget struggling. He collected ten, six and five rebounds in Denver’s defeats. In the latest of those, against Portland, he also scored 35 points. Productive individual play and a team loss can coexist.
The rebound ladder makes the choice clear. Four or more was −218, compared with −103 for over 4.5. The cheaper option needs five, which he reached in both his latest loss and the following win over Toronto. Four would give you a one-board cushion, but none of the three Denver defeats landed there.
His older record is less convincing than the current three-for-three: at least five rebounds in 20 of 30 Denver losses and 42 of 82 appearances from October 2025 onward. Even this season, he managed only one board in 38 minutes in a win at New Orleans. Minutes give him opportunity, not a guaranteed rebound total.
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Decide how much room you want to pay for
Siakam’s twenty-point line has the clearest longer history in his team’s wins. If you prefer the opposing players, Braun’s under focuses on a second made three, while Murray’s over lets you back a Denver contribution even in defeat. Their roles still share the same game and rotation, so compare the actual combination price if you use more than one.
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