NBA matchup

11/07/20265:00 PMArena CDMXMexico City, Mexico

Nuggets4 – 3vsPacers3 – 6

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Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Denver Nuggets	B+	C+	B
Indiana Pacers	C	D	C-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Arena CDMX in Mexico City, with an illuminated court and abstract spectators.

Nuggets vs. Pacers preview: Can Indiana disrupt Denver’s passing?Denver's balanced scoring meets an Indiana defense that created crucial extra chances in Memphis. Turnovers and Jokic's passing frame the neutral-site matchup in Mexico City.Read analysis

Nuggets Parlay Picks vs. Pacers: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Jokić assists, Nembhard scoring and Nesmith rebounds for a Denver-win scenario, with dated prices, current records and longer-sample checks.Read analysis

Pacers Parlay Picks vs. Nuggets: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Siakam scoring, Braun threes and Murray rebounds for an Indiana-win scenario, with dated prices, exact records and recent counterexamples.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

DEN-268-7.5 (-106)

IND+220+7.5 (-114)

Total 229.5Over -106Under -114

Recent form

Last 3 games

Denver Nuggets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	vs TOR	W 128–109	W -4.5	O 230.5
11/2/26	vs POR	L 110–118	L -4.5	U 231.5
10/30/26	@ PHX	W 127–120	W -4.5	O 231.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Indiana Pacers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	@ MEM	W 107–103	W +5.5	U 227.5
11/2/26	vs ATL	L 104–108	W +10.5	U 226.5
11/1/26	vs BKN	L 90–98	L -3.5	U 230.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nuggets and Pacers
	Statistic
44.7 (42.6)	Field Goals Made	41.3 (40.9)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Denver Nuggets

Expected Starters

PGJamal Murray
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-15761.1%Under+11945.7%
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SGChristian Braun
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
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SFCameron Johnson
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
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PFAaron Gordon
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
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CNikola Jokic
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15460.6%
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Relevant Bench

FDeMar DeRozanDay-To-Day
DeRozan (back) is probable for Saturday's game against the Pacers.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 5:48 PM EST
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists2.5Over-14759.5%Under+11247.2%
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Indiana Pacers

Expected Starters

PGTyrese HaliburtonOut
Haliburton (hamstring) will miss at least the next two weeks of action, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM EDT
SGAndrew Nembhard
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13742.2%Under-18264.5%
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SFAaron Nesmith
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13642.4%Under-18064.3%
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PFPascal Siakam
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
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CIvica Zubac
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points10.5Over+10050.0%Under-12856.1%
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Relevant Bench

FKelly Oubre Jr.Day-To-Day
Oubre (calf) is questionable for Saturday's game against Denver.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 6:04 PM EST
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19566.1%
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FObi Toppin
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
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Player availability

Injury report

Denver Nuggets

GJulian StrawtherKneeOut
Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 8:52 PM EDT
GDeMar DeRozanBackDay-To-Day
DeRozan (back) is probable for Saturday's game against the Pacers.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 5:48 PM EST

Indiana Pacers

GBen SheppardKneeOut
Head coach Rick Carlise confirmed Sheppard will miss "months" after undergoing surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee, Tony East of Forbes.com reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
GJohnny FurphyKneeOut
Furphy (knee) is practicing with the G League's Noblesville Boom, per Alex Golden of SI.com.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 3:06 PM EDT
GT.J. McConnellHamstringOut
McConnell (hamstring) is questionable for Saturday's game against Denver.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 6:06 PM EST