Saddiq Bey took only six shots in New Orleans’ win over Sacramento, but his four rebounds were enough to clear the line we’re considering here. The bigger question is whether you’re comfortable asking for four boards from his current bench role.
If you’re starting with a New Orleans win over Atlanta, these Pelicans parlay picks offer three contributions to compare: Bey’s boards, Zion Williamson reaching 18 points, or CJ McCollum scoring 12 even in a Hawks loss. The recent workloads help explain what you’re paying for with each line.
Pelicans parlay picks: a bench rebounding target and two scoring floors
The records cover completed appearances with each player’s current club from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, including the postseason. The conditional and all-game records use the same dates and participation rules. Bey and Williamson are measured in Pelicans wins, McCollum in Hawks losses. New Orleans has only one win this season, so Bey’s and Williamson’s current winning-game examples come from the same game. These historical rates aren’t probabilities for tonight. Individual DraftKings prices were checked on October 31 and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All current-team games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey 4+ rebounds |
−163 | 96.0% 24 of 25 Pelicans wins |
77.9% 60 of 77 appearances |
| Zion Williamson 18+ points |
−323 | 82.6% 19 of 23 Pelicans wins |
74.6% 50 of 67 appearances |
| CJ McCollum 12+ points |
−364 | 85.7% 18 of 21 Hawks losses |
84.9% 45 of 53 appearances |
Saddiq Bey: 4+ rebounds at −163
Bey finished with four rebounds, ten points and three assists in 24 minutes off the bench against Sacramento. Four is a modest target, but that game left no board to spare. His five appearances this season have produced five, three, four, zero and four rebounds.
The change in workload matters more than the near-perfect winning-game rate in the table. Bey has come off the bench in all five games, averaging about 24 minutes compared with roughly 31 in the older New Orleans appearances. Four rebounds has cleared in three of those five bench outings. Don’t read the longer record as though he still has the same minutes every night.
The three-rebound milestone was −377, while five was +123. Three and four covered the same 24 Pelicans wins in this history, but three was more common across all his appearances. His Utah game this season ended at three rebounds in 22 minutes: enough for the lower line, short of this one.
Five rebounds covered only 17 of the 25 wins. The latest four-board Sacramento game shows the difference directly—you’d have needed another rebound for the plus-money payout.
New Orleans has Yves Missi and Jordan Poole listed out for Saturday, leaving rotation questions, but that doesn’t establish a bigger role for Bey. His zero-rebound Denver game came in 26 minutes, and even an older 33-minute Pelicans win ended with just one rebound while he scored 20. Choose four because it fits the contribution you expect from his bench minutes, not because a team win should deliver it.
Zion Williamson: 18+ points at −323
Williamson has scored 22, 23, 17, 25 and 22 in his first five appearances, starting each and playing 31 to 33 minutes. His latest 22 came on 10-for-12 shooting against Sacramento. Eighteen leaves some room below that finish without requiring another night of such efficient shooting.
The larger payout at 20 points, priced at −212, comes with a higher demand. That target cleared in 16 of the 23 Pelicans wins in this window, compared with 19 for 18 points. The lower target covered three more wins.
Dropping further to 15 points cost −650 and covered just one more winning game than 18. That extra room did matter in a March win over the Clippers: Williamson scored 15 in 33 minutes on 5-for-7 shooting. Efficient shooting and a Pelicans win still left him below 18.
The recent Denver miss is closer to the line. He scored 17 in 33 minutes, shooting 7-for-11 from the field and 3-for-5 at the foul line. Regular minutes don’t remove the possibility of finishing a point short.
His current workload is higher than his older New Orleans average of about 30 minutes, and he has cleared 18 in four of five appearances. The one current win alone tells us little; the useful choice is whether you want the smaller payout at 18 in exchange for the room it leaves below 20.
CJ McCollum: 12+ points at −364
McCollum’s three Atlanta losses this season produced 17, 20 and 13 points. The 13-point Miami game came in only 20 minutes on 6-for-9 shooting. It cleared 12 but would have missed the 15-point milestone at −165.
Twelve covered 18 of the 21 Hawks losses in this history; 15 covered 15. You’re accepting a smaller payout to keep those lower-teens scoring nights. The ten-point line was −680 and covered two more losses than 12 did.
One of those extra games was the April playoff loss to New York. McCollum had 11 points in 24 minutes, shooting 4-for-13. Ten would have cleared, while 12 would have missed by one. The low target still carries a shooting risk.
His latest game is another reminder to separate minutes from scoring. Atlanta beat Cleveland while McCollum finished with five points and eight assists in 31 minutes, shooting 1-for-8 and missing all four threes. He was involved in the offense, but mainly through passing.
He has started all six games this season, averaging about 26 minutes compared with roughly 29 in the older Atlanta sample. Twelve has cleared in five of those six appearances. His rate in Hawks losses is close to his overall rate; the case is that 12 has remained attainable in defeat. This line fits a view where his scoring remains useful during a Hawks loss; it doesn’t require a big night, but it does require his own shots to produce more than they did against Cleveland.
Choose the workload you’re comfortable backing
If Bey’s smaller bench workload gives you pause, the scoring lines offer a different choice. You can pay for Williamson’s room below 20, or keep McCollum’s lower-teens nights in play at 12. Choose the contribution that fits your view of the game; the separate records don’t establish the chance of all three clearing together.
Check current offers on the Hawks–Pelicans matchup page, or read more of our NBA coverage.
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