Fernando Mendoza makes his first NFL start against a Seattle defense that leads the league in fewest yards allowed. If the Raiders win, two of the more familiar routes for their offense run through Ashton Jeanty out of the backfield and Michael Mayer alongside Brock Bowers.
Jeanty can get yards on handoffs or catches. Mayer’s line asks what Las Vegas can get from its second tight end even with Bowers on the field. Both have produced in Raiders wins, though Mendoza’s first full game will show how much of that carries over.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty Over 62.5 rushing + receiving yards |
−115 | 85.7% 6 of 7 LV wins |
65.4% 17 of 26 games |
| Michael Mayer Over 21.5 receiving yards |
−114 | 100.0% 3 of 3 LV wins |
60.0% 9 of 15 games |
Ashton Jeanty · Over 62.5 rushing plus receiving yards
Jeanty had nine rushing yards and 64 receiving yards in the win over the Jets. Mike Washington Jr. ran 25 times that day. Against the Chargers, Jeanty needed both parts of the stat line. He had 48 on the ground and 15 through the air, reaching exactly the 63 yards this line requires.
Seattle has allowed just 89.1 rushing yards per game, so the throws are a real part of the case. Last week, San Francisco got ahead and the Raiders went away from the run. Jeanty had 25 yards on six carries and lost five yards across five catches. The over needs gains on those touches, especially if the Raiders are playing from behind again.
Michael Mayer · Over 21.5 receiving yards
Mayer’s role behind Bowers can still get him to 22. Against the Jets, Bowers had 92 yards and Mayer had 53. Mayer also found room down the middle for a 24-yard catch against San Francisco. One play like that can be enough.
The table counts only games in which Bowers also played. Even in that role, Mayer has had very different days, from 53 against the Jets to two yards in this season’s loss to New England. With Mendoza taking over, watch whether the Raiders keep giving Mayer a route over the middle or whether those throws go mostly to Bowers.
Sharpest Bets Premium
Get our Seahawks vs. Raiders picks.
See our model's picks for this game, plus the projections and trends behind them. Use PARLAY20 for 20% off Premium Monthly. New members who qualify get 3 days free.
What are you expecting from the Raiders’ new quarterback?
Jeanty’s line is the better fit if you expect Las Vegas to give him enough work on the ground to supplement a few short throws. Mayer’s is more specific. It depends on how often the Raiders get both tight ends involved and give him a chance to get past the sticks.
Follow the live Raiders–Seahawks matchup or browse more NFL analysis.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.