Tyler Herro has made four threes in each of Milwaukee’s last four games, and the Bucks have lost all four. That’s a useful place to start if you’re looking at Raptors parlay picks: a Toronto win can still leave room for Milwaukee’s shooters to produce.
Here, we compare Herro’s threes, Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s points and Kyle Kuzma’s assists in Bucks losses with their records across all games this season. For this Toronto-win scenario, we’re asking which Milwaukee contributions have kept showing up in defeats. Scottie Barnes remains questionable with a groin injury, an important part of the Toronto side of that decision.
Raptors parlay picks: production that has survived Bucks losses
These are Milwaukee appearances in the current 2026–27 regular season. All three records include seven losses and eight total games, so the strong percentages come from a small early sample.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 2.5 three-pointers made |
−136 | 85.7% 6 of 7 MIL losses |
87.5% 7 of 8 appearances |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 14.5 points |
−118 | 85.7% 6 of 7 MIL losses |
75.0% 6 of 8 appearances |
| Kyle Kuzma Over 2.5 assists |
+112 | 85.7% 6 of 7 MIL losses |
87.5% 7 of 8 appearances |
Tyler Herro: over 2.5 three-pointers made
Herro has kept making threes even when Milwaukee’s scoring has fallen off. He hit four in the loss to Cleveland, when he finished with only 15 points, and followed with four apiece against Minnesota and Boston. Three makes are enough for this line.
That Cleveland game helps distinguish the threes over at −136 from his over-20.5 points offer at −109. The points bet costs less, but asks for scoring beyond those long-range makes. Herro’s recent shooting has given the threes option room to clear even on a modest scoring night.
The exception came against Philadelphia: one three in 31 minutes, with 13 points overall. Playing his usual minutes didn’t get him there. His only Milwaukee win also included three makes, so this is a record of shooting holding up across results, not evidence that losing makes him more likely to hit the line. The longer Milwaukee-only window adds no older appearances beyond these eight games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: over 14.5 points
Jaquez’s points over at −118 costs less than Herro’s threes over. He scored 19 against Minnesota and 18 against Boston in Milwaukee’s last two losses, playing 28 and 31 minutes. Every successful game in this sample has reached at least 18 points, giving him some room above the 15 needed here.
The drop against Cleveland is the important counterexample. He finished with eight points in 23 minutes while Herro still made four threes. A Toronto win could similarly leave one Milwaukee player productive and another short; the two overs don’t come as a package.
Jaquez also scored eight in the Bucks’ lone win, so the difference between his losing-game and all-game rates rests on just that one additional result. His expected starting role fits the appearances being compared, but all eight current-club games are from this season. There’s no separate older Milwaukee sample behind the strong record.
Kyle Kuzma: over 2.5 assists
Kuzma’s passing offers a different contribution at +112. He had three assists while scoring just two points against Minnesota, then supplied four assists with six points against Boston. You can consider this route without needing a big scoring night from him.
The margin is thin: four of his six successful games in Bucks losses ended with exactly three assists. His miss came in the heavy loss to Houston, when he had one assist in 18 minutes. He needed two more assists that night; being in the starting lineup didn’t get him close enough.
The longer record is a substantial caution here. Across the previous and current regular seasons with Milwaukee, Kuzma reached three assists in 19 of 45 losses and 36 of 77 appearances overall. This season’s passing has been more consistent, but eight games don’t establish that the change will last. The plus-money price gives you a bigger payout than either featured scoring option, with much weaker support over the longer window.
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Decide how Milwaukee keeps contributing
The biggest payout difference is between Herro’s recent shooting consistency and Kuzma setting up teammates. Kuzma gives you plus money, but his older record gives you more reason to hesitate—particularly when three assists has so often been just enough this season.
You can choose the option that fits your view without using all three. They share Milwaukee’s offensive possessions, and separate hit rates don’t establish a combined success rate. Follow the live Raptors–Bucks matchup for the game context, or explore more NBA parlay ideas.
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