RJ Barrett scored 31 against Philadelphia and Toronto still came up short. Now he faces his former team with Kawhi Leonard out and Scottie Barnes questionable, so the Raptors may need plenty from Barrett again.
If you see Toronto beating New York, look at how Barrett gets his points and what Ja’Kobe Walter can contribute between shots. At the other end, Jalen Brunson’s assists show whether the Raptors can keep him from getting the rest of the Knicks going.
Player props for a Raptors win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett Over 20.5 points |
−113 | 80.0% 4 of 5 TOR wins |
58.3% 7 of 12 games |
| Ja'Kobe Walter Over 5.5 rebounds + assists |
+101 | 100.0% 5 of 5 TOR wins |
66.7% 8 of 12 games |
| Jalen Brunson Under 6.5 assists |
−156 | 83.3% 5 of 6 NYK losses |
66.7% 8 of 12 games |
RJ Barrett over 20.5 points
Barrett has scored at least 23 in Toronto’s last four wins. He scored 27 against Milwaukee without making a three, going 9-for-11 at the line. If he can turn drives into trips to the stripe again, he has a way past 20.5 even when his outside shot goes cold.
He’s reached 21 in four of five Toronto wins and seven of 12 games overall. His 31-point night in the Philadelphia loss showed another route, with four made threes. A Barnes return could shift some possessions away from Barrett, so watch how often he gets to attack rather than waiting on the perimeter.
Ja’Kobe Walter over 5.5 rebounds + assists
Walter had six rebounds and two assists when Toronto beat Milwaukee, even though he scored just seven. He also had six rebounds and five assists in the win over the Clippers. The line fits if he’s helping finish stops and moving the ball after Barrett or Immanuel Quickley draws help.
Walter has reached six in every Toronto win, including all three wins he started. His closest cover was exactly six against Washington. He had five rebounds and zero assists in 32 minutes against Philadelphia, a reminder that minutes alone can leave him a play short. The +101 price gives you both ways to get there at the same price as his assists-only over.
Jalen Brunson under 6.5 assists
Brunson scored 27 with five assists in the loss to Cleveland. Toronto can live with some of his scoring if its defenders stay close enough to contest the shots he sets up for others. Help that leaves Karl-Anthony Towns or a shooter open gives Brunson another way to get to seven.
Brunson has stayed below seven assists in five of six Knicks losses, compared with eight of 12 games overall. The miss came Friday, when he had 11 assists in a two-point loss at Indiana. At −156, the under asks you to trust Toronto’s coverage of his teammates.
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Where do you see Toronto getting its advantage?
Barrett’s points fit if you expect him to spend the night putting pressure on the rim. Walter gives you a way to follow the work around those scoring possessions. If your strongest read is that Toronto can keep New York’s other scorers from getting clean looks, Brunson’s under fits that version of the game.
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