Tyler Shough ran for 51 yards in the Saints’ overtime win over Cleveland. New Orleans also gave up five sacks. With two starting offensive linemen out against Carolina, the Saints may need Shough to make a few more plays outside the pocket.
If you see New Orleans winning at home, there’s a separate question when Carolina has the ball. The Saints can pressure Bryce Young into a mistake or make it harder for Jalen Coker to get loose downfield. Those are different ways to slow the Panthers, and either can happen without the other.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough Over 17.5 rushing yards |
−111 | 100.0% 3 of 3 NO wins |
50.0% 4 of 8 games |
| Bryce Young Over 0.5 interceptions thrown |
−109 | 84.6% 11 of 13 CAR losses |
58.3% 14 of 24 games |
| Jalen Coker Under 52.5 receiving yards |
−110 | 81.8% 9 of 11 CAR losses |
72.2% 13 of 18 games |
Tyler Shough · Over 17.5 rushing yards
Shough turned 10 carries into 51 yards against Cleveland. The threshold is 18, and he reached it in the Saints’ other two wins this season with 23 against Baltimore and 32 against the Giants. He’s cleared it only once in five losses, so the three wins tell a different story from the full season.
Center Erik McCoy and tackle Taliese Fuaga are out. That could leave Shough looking for an exit when the pocket closes. He still needs somewhere to go. He managed just seven rushing yards against Pittsburgh, and Travis Etienne Jr. is back on the active roster, giving the Saints another option to carry the ball.
Bryce Young · Over 0.5 interceptions thrown
Young threw for 276 yards and three touchdowns against Denver last week, but an end-zone pass was ruled an interception on review. That was the fifth Carolina loss this season, and he’s thrown a pick in each one. He also threw two interceptions in a game where Tampa Bay sacked him five times.
New Orleans sacked Cleveland five times last week, with Chase Young and Carl Granderson supplying pressure off the edge this season. If Carolina gives Bryce Young clean first reads and keeps him out of obvious passing downs, the pick is harder to count on. Young went without an interception in last December’s loss in New Orleans.
Jalen Coker · Under 52.5 receiving yards
Coker had 29 receiving yards against Denver on four catches. His longest went for 11. At Green Bay he had a 26-yard catch but finished with 36. If the Saints keep him in front of them, Young can still find him without Coker getting to 53.
One long throw changes that. Coker had a 51-yard touchdown on his way to 138 yards against Chicago, also a Carolina loss. He went for 21 and 60 yards in last season’s two meetings. A Saints win can leave room for him to clear this line if New Orleans gives up the deep ball.
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Where do you see New Orleans creating an advantage?
Shough’s rushing line is the best fit if you expect him to extend drives himself. If you’re leaning on the Saints’ defense, Young’s interception depends on forcing a mistake, while Coker’s line comes down to whether New Orleans can keep his catches short.
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