Jamie Benn put away a rebound for his 1,000th NHL point in Dallas’s shutout of Buffalo. Florida arrives from St. Louis with three straight wins, and both teams are playing for a second night in a row.
If you see Dallas winning again, look for Jason Robertson to keep putting pucks on net and Mikko Rantanen to help finish a chance. At the other end, Carter Verhaeghe’s shot total gives you a way to follow how well Dallas keeps Florida’s forwards away from the middle.
Player props for a Stars win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson 3+ shots on goal |
−185 | 90.9% 10 of 11 DAL wins |
73.7% 14 of 19 games |
| Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 points |
−235 | 100.0% 11 of 11 DAL wins |
73.7% 14 of 19 games |
| Carter Verhaeghe Under 2.5 shots on goal |
−180 | 88.9% 8 of 9 FLA losses |
52.4% 11 of 21 games |
Jason Robertson 3+ shots on goal
Robertson put five shots on net against Buffalo and finished without a point. Shots can add up even on a night when the goalie stops them all. Against San Jose, he scored from the circle after Rantanen found him from the other side. Watch whether Dallas can get Robertson that kind of look before Florida’s coverage shifts.
Four Dallas wins landed on exactly three shots for Robertson. DraftKings also offered 4+ at +125, but that higher line cleared in only six of the 11 wins. The three-shot line leaves room for a quieter night, though he managed just one in the win over Columbus.
Mikko Rantanen over 0.5 points
Rantanen put one shot on net Saturday. His point came on a late power play when he set up Wyatt Johnston at the back post. He had two power-play assists against San Jose. If Florida has to chase the puck across its zone, Rantanen can get his point by finding the open stick.
He’s been on the scoresheet in all 11 Dallas wins, and seven of those games ended with exactly one point. At −235, you’re paying for a role that gives him multiple ways to get there. When Dallas gets few power plays or struggles to turn its looks into goals, his chances narrow.
Carter Verhaeghe under 2.5 shots on goal
Verhaeghe put two shots on goal in 17 minutes Saturday in a Florida win. If Dallas funnels his line toward the boards, he can still move the puck to Sam Reinhart without getting many clean shots himself. He’s stayed under three in eight of nine Florida losses, compared with 11 of 21 games overall.
He landed on two in each of Florida’s last three losses, so one extra puck through traffic could flip the result. His only loss above the line came at Anaheim, where he scored by putting in a rebound from the crease. If Florida gets repeated chances that close to the net, the case for the under weakens.
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Where the chances come from matters
If you expect Dallas to generate pressure at even strength, Robertson’s shot total gives you a way to follow it even through a low-scoring game. Rantanen’s point fits better if you expect Dallas to turn power-play chances into goals. Florida’s ability to get Verhaeghe to the inside could change the read at the other end.
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