Nico Collins has reached 50 receiving yards in each of his last four appearances. That line has held up in Houston victories too: ten hits in the 11 Texans wins he played in over the past year.
For these Texans parlay picks, Collins and Dalton Schultz supply the receiving options. Stroud staying below his rushing-yardage line adds a different way to support a Houston win, with five rushing yards in each of the team’s two victories this season.
Side & Support follows the result you’re backing into the player logs, then gives you the records and prices to compare. Houston’s receiving group is changing, though: Tank Dell has been activated, so recent target shares aren’t a fixed plan for today.
Three props to consider with a Texans win
The records cover each player’s appearances with his current team over the past year, including playoffs.
| Player & prop | Odds | When HOU wins | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins 50+ receiving yards |
−245 | 90.9% 10 of 11 Texans wins |
92.9% 13 of 14 games |
| Dalton Schultz 3+ catches |
−193 | 84.6% 11 of 13 Texans wins |
78.9% 15 of 19 games |
| C.J. Stroud Under 9.5 rushing yards |
−116 | 80.0% 8 of 10 Texans wins |
50.0% 8 of 16 games |
Nico Collins: 50+ receiving yards
Collins’ 50+ receiving yards line is −245. He has reached it in ten of 11 Houston wins over the past year and 13 of 14 appearances overall. The broader record is actually stronger than the win-only one.
That is the appeal here: his production has usually held up across different results. His last four appearances produced 75, 118, 56 and 74 receiving yards, including both Texans wins this season.
The sole winning miss was a 21-yard playoff outing in January. And Dell’s return adds another receiver to an offense that has also brought in Marvin Harrison Jr. Collins’ recent involvement is useful evidence, but it doesn’t reserve him the same number of targets today.
Dalton Schultz: 3+ catches
Schultz gives you a catch requirement rather than a yardage total. His 3+ catches line is −193, with hits in 11 of 13 Texans wins and 15 of 19 appearances overall.
Houston’s two victories this season included three catches against Tennessee and four against Jacksonville. Across all six games this season, he has reached three catches five times; the miss was a two-catch outing against Dallas.
The final injury report shows Schultz finishing the week with a full practice and no game designation after a quad issue. His two older winning misses finished at two catches and one.
Collins and Schultz share the same passing offense, and Dell’s return matters to both. If you use the two receiving props together, compare the actual SGP price rather than treating their individual records as independent.
C.J. Stroud: under 9.5 rushing yards
Stroud’s rushing under is the lightest individual price here at −116. He has stayed below 9.5 rushing yards in eight of ten Houston wins over the past year, versus eight of 16 appearances overall.
The recent split is particularly tidy: five rushing yards in each of this season’s two wins, compared with 15, 29, ten and 12 in the four losses.
The longer winning record has two exceptions, at 30 yards and ten yards. The latter only just beat today’s under. A single scramble can change this prop, even if Houston is playing the kind of game you expected.
Texans parlay picks: choosing your support
Collins has the strongest all-game consistency, Schultz asks for three catches, and Stroud’s under carries the biggest difference between his winning and overall records. Each offers a different reason to consider it alongside Houston.
Start with the requirement you’re most comfortable backing, then weigh the payout against the extra condition you’re adding. Dell’s return belongs in that decision.
Check the final active list, exact lines and your sportsbook’s SGP price before choosing your support. These individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change.
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