Tony Pollard ran for 129 yards and three touchdowns against Cleveland, yet Tennessee lost 27–24. A week earlier, nineteen carries for seventy-six yards helped the Titans win at Indianapolis. Those games make his rushing work a useful place to start if you’re backing Tennessee in Cincinnati, while showing why a big individual game doesn’t settle the team result.
If you’re backing a Tennessee upset, these Titans parlay picks give you a choice between Pollard’s ground production and Cincinnati’s workloads: Burrow attempting thirty-six passes or Brown staying below sixteen carries. Brown can still contribute as a receiver without adding to his rushing count. You can choose the contribution that fits your view of a Titans win without taking all three.
Titans parlay picks: rushing output and passing volume
The table covers games with each player’s current club from August 1, 2025 through October 31, 2026. Pollard is measured in Titans wins; Burrow and Brown in Bengals losses. Each all-game comparison covers the same dates and club, including every game in which the player had a rushing or passing attempt, respectively.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard Over 65.5 rushing yards |
−113 | 100.0% 4 of 4 TEN wins |
37.5% 9 of 24 appearances |
| Joe Burrow 36+ pass attempts |
+125 | 100.0% 5 of 5 CIN losses |
42.9% 6 of 14 appearances |
| Chase Brown Under 15.5 carries |
−118 | 84.6% 11 of 13 CIN losses |
69.6% 16 of 23 appearances |
These individual DraftKings prices were captured November 1 and can change. Four Titans wins and five Burrow games in Bengals losses are small samples. They include just one Tennessee win and two Cincinnati losses this season.
Tony Pollard — Over 65.5 rushing yards (−113)
Pollard’s rushing totals in the four Tennessee wins in this history are sixty-seven, 161, 102 and seventy-six yards. The last of those was this season’s win at Indianapolis, where he had nineteen carries. The line asks for at least sixty-six yards, so it doesn’t require another hundred-yard performance.
The sixty-seven-yard win over Arizona last season is useful when choosing the target. Seventy yards is +105, but it would have missed that game. Seventy cleared three of the four Titans wins and eight of twenty-four rushing appearances overall, compared with four wins and nine appearances for Over 65.5.
Sixty yards is heavier at −153. It cleared the same four wins and thirteen appearances overall, adding four clears outside the winning subset. One current example is the sixty-four yards on fourteen carries against Philadelphia. The lower target gives more room for a productive but sub-sixty-six-yard game; it didn’t improve the winning column in this record.
Pollard’s latest twenty-five carries and 129 yards against Cleveland show substantial recent work, but the misses this season matter too. He finished with forty-eight yards on sixteen attempts against Baltimore and fifty-two on fourteen against Houston. Carries alone haven’t ensured enough yardage for this selection.
He’s the expected first running back, and Tennessee has ruled Tyjae Spears out with a knee injury. That supports paying attention to Pollard’s role without assuming he’ll receive every carry or repeat his three touchdowns.
Only three of Pollard’s seven games this season have exceeded 65.5 rushing yards. The four-for-four winning record is therefore a narrow pattern in winning games, with only one current-season win behind it. At −113, choose it if your view of a Tennessee upset includes a sustained, productive ground game rather than treating the perfect small winning column as a promise.
Joe Burrow — 36+ pass attempts (+125)
Burrow attempted thirty-six, thirty-nine, thirty-nine, thirty-seven and fifty-four passes in the five Bengals losses among his fourteen passing appearances. His two defeats this season brought thirty-seven attempts against Pittsburgh and fifty-four against Jacksonville. This option asks for opportunities through the air, not a particular yardage total or number of touchdown passes.
There’s limited room at the bottom of that record. Last season’s loss to Buffalo landed on exactly thirty-six attempts, while the Pittsburgh game this season finished at thirty-seven. Thirty-eight attempts is +205, but it cleared only three of the five losses and four of fourteen appearances overall. The step up would have lost both of those games.
The paired Over 34.5 attempts is −105, meaning at least thirty-five passes. It cleared the same five losses and seven appearances overall, compared with six overall for thirty-six. The extra clear was this season’s thirty-five-attempt win over Tampa Bay. Paying the negative price buys that game and a lower requirement, without adding a losing-game clear in this history.
Burrow’s latest outing shows what can go wrong for an attempts over even when Cincinnati throws effectively. He had thirty attempts, 292 yards and four touchdown passes in the 35–13 win over Baltimore. He also threw four touchdowns on thirty-two attempts against Miami. Scoring through the air doesn’t automatically generate thirty-six attempts.
Burrow is the expected starting quarterback with no current injury designation. His record includes a thirteen-attempt outing against Jacksonville last season, alongside the heavier passing days. Thirty-six attempts has cleared six of fourteen appearances overall; this season, only his two losses have reached that count.
The +125 price fits a view of Cincinnati continuing to put the ball in Burrow’s hands while falling short. If you want one fewer pass to be enough, compare it with the −105 main over. The gap between those prices buys a lower request, even though thirty-five and thirty-six have produced the same five losing-game clears.
Chase Brown — Under 15.5 carries (−118)
Brown has stayed at fifteen carries or fewer in eleven of thirteen Bengals losses among his twenty-three rushing appearances across last season and this one. This season’s losing games brought thirteen carries against Pittsburgh and nine against Jacksonville.
The Jacksonville game is a useful distinction between carries and total involvement. Brown had eleven catches for seventy-one yards as well as his nine rushing attempts. Receiving work didn’t count against this carry under. You can consider it without needing Brown to disappear from Cincinnati’s offense.
A rushing-yard under asks for something different. Under 59.5 rushing yards is −110, slightly lighter than the carry price, but it cleared eight of thirteen Cincinnati losses and thirteen of twenty-three appearances overall. Under 15.5 carries cleared eleven losses and sixteen appearances overall.
Two older losses show why the records differ: Brown ran for seventy-three yards on twelve carries against the Jets and seventy-two on thirteen against Cleveland. The carry under cleared both; the yardage under didn’t. A limited number of attempts can still produce a useful rushing total.
There are genuine losing-game misses for the carry under. Brown had eighteen attempts for ninety-nine yards against Pittsburgh last November and nineteen for 107 against New England a week later. A Bengals defeat doesn’t prevent him from handling a larger workload.
His latest two games have been more favorable to this requirement: thirteen carries against Miami and eleven against Baltimore, both Bengals wins. Earlier winning games brought sixteen attempts against Tampa Bay and twenty against Houston, which would have missed the under. He’s listed first on the running-back depth chart with Samaje Perine second, so this is a choice about the number of carries, not an assumption that Brown has lost his starting role.
At −118, the carry limit gives a way to allow Brown some efficient running or receiving production while keeping his rushing opportunities below sixteen. It has also cleared in recent wins, so it shouldn’t be treated as a standalone signal that Tennessee will win.
Choose the workload you expect
If your Tennessee-win view starts with Pollard’s ground production, the choice between sixty, 65.5 and seventy yards is worth comparing: the older sixty-seven-yard win separates the higher targets. Burrow’s attempt option offers a different route if you expect Cincinnati to keep throwing rather than asking a particular receiver to produce.
You can choose an option without taking all three. For any combination with Tennessee to win, use the sportsbook’s actual same-game parlay quote; the separate records don’t establish combined odds or independence.
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