Drake Maye has thrown an interception in each of New England’s seven losses across last season and this one. If your Dolphins parlay picks start with a Miami upset, that’s a more interesting place to look than assuming the Patriots’ offense has to disappear. Maye threw for 321 yards in the latest defeat, and Rhamondre Stevenson caught five passes for 93.
This edition of Side & Support Parlay Plays compares a Maye interception with three Stevenson catches and a lower receiving target for Miami tight end Greg Dulcich. They give you different ways to build around a Dolphins win, including Patriots production that has survived losses. Miami is only 1–5, though, so Dulcich’s latest winning performance needs more context than a perfect one-game record.
Dolphins parlay picks: three options to compare
These records cover August 1, 2025 through October 31, 2026 with each player’s current club, including New England’s playoff games. Each all-game comparison uses the same dates, team and participation rule as its win or loss sample: a passing attempt for Maye or a receiving target for Stevenson and Dulcich. These are individual DraftKings price snapshots, and the offers can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye 1+ interception thrown |
−123 | 100.0% 7 of 7 NE losses |
57.1% 16 of 28 appearances |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ receptions |
−156 | 85.7% 6 of 7 NE losses |
54.2% 13 of 24 appearances |
| Greg Dulcich 20+ receiving yards |
−215 | 83.3% 5 of 6 MIA wins |
78.6% 11 of 14 appearances |
Seven Patriots losses and six Dolphins wins are still small samples. This season contributes three of those New England losses and just one Miami win; the player sections below show what the more recent games add.
Drake Maye: over 0.5 interceptions thrown
A Miami upset can include a productive afternoon from Maye. His last outing makes the distinction clear: 321 passing yards and two passing touchdowns against Chicago, but also an interception in a 30–24 loss. This option asks for one turnover through the air, not a low passing total.
The other two Patriots losses this season brought three interceptions against Seattle and two against Jacksonville. That extends the pattern seen in all four of his losing games last season, including two interceptions in the Super Bowl. At −123 for over 0.5, you’re taking a specific mistake rather than paying heavily for a low yardage milestone.
That association only runs so far. Maye also threw an interception in this season’s wins over Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Last postseason, he threw one in each of the wins over the Chargers and Texans, then none in the win at Denver. A turnover hasn’t automatically meant a New England loss, and seven losses with an interception don’t make the next one certain.
He was interception-free against Las Vegas and the Jets in his two most recent wins before Chicago. With A.J. Brown ruled out, New England’s receiving group will also be different this week. That changes the personnel around Maye; it doesn’t tell us whether Miami will intercept him. Consider this route if a defensive takeaway is part of how you see the Dolphins keeping the game within reach.
Rhamondre Stevenson: 3+ receptions
Stevenson offers a way to back Miami without needing every Patriots player to struggle. In the Chicago loss, he finished with only 22 rushing yards but caught all five of his targets for 93 yards and a touchdown. His receiving work and his ground production told very different stories.
He also caught five passes in the Seattle loss and three against Jacksonville this season. Three catches has been a much more common result in New England losses than across all of his targeted games in the two-season sample. But it hasn’t been exclusive to defeats: he caught three in the wins over Buffalo and Las Vegas, too.
The price choice is useful here. The paired over-2.5 offer was −156, compared with −467 for two or more catches. Lowering the target to two would have added just one of the seven losing games: the September 2025 Raiders game, when Stevenson caught two passes on three targets. Four or more catches offered +147, but would have landed in only three of the seven losses, including two of the three this season. Three gives you more payout than the two-catch option without asking for the larger afternoon.
TreVeyon Henderson has been ruled out with an illness, and Brown is also out. That could change where New England’s opportunities go, but it doesn’t establish a target total for Stevenson; Corey Kiner is the next running back listed behind him. More rushing work would not, by itself, settle a receptions bet. Stevenson had 25 carries in the playoff win at Denver and still caught none of his two targets. He also caught just one pass against Pittsburgh this season. The case here is for involvement as a receiver, not simply time in the backfield.
Greg Dulcich: 20+ receiving yards
Dulcich supplied the clearest recent Miami example: five catches for 86 yards in the 28–25 win over the Jets. Twenty yards leaves considerably more room than asking him to repeat that afternoon. He had also posted 55 yards against Kansas City and 37 against Cincinnati in losses, so his receiving production hasn’t depended on Miami winning.
The 20-yard option at −215 sits between two quite different choices. Fifteen or more yards cost −337 and cleared in all six Miami wins in the sample. The one win lost by moving from 15 to 20 was last November’s Washington game, when he caught two passes for 18 yards despite four targets.
Moving up again to 30 yards brought the price to −103, but cut the winning-game record to three of six. His 22 yards against Buffalo and 24 against New Orleans last season show why 20 is a distinct choice: both would clear the lower target and fall short of 30. That’s the extra margin you’re paying for, rather than evidence that the heavier price is automatically better value.
The older games need some perspective. Five of those six Miami wins came last season, before Malik Willis became the current starting quarterback. With Willis this season, Dulcich has reached 20 yards in three of five targeted games; the Jets game is the only win among them. He finished with 18 yards against Las Vegas and 17 at San Francisco, so this isn’t a target he has cleared every week. His listed TE1 role and recent receiving work make him worth comparing, while the different quarterback and small winning sample keep the older record from carrying the whole argument.
Choose the route that fits your Miami view
Maye’s interception is the clearest option if your upset scenario includes Miami taking the ball away. Stevenson’s catches offer another route: New England can still complete passes to its back while falling short on the scoreboard. Dulcich is the Miami receiving choice, with 20 yards preserving two older winning performances that a 30-yard target would lose.
You don’t need all three. Maye’s passing and Stevenson’s catches share the same offense, and a sportsbook may adjust the price of related legs. If you combine any option with Miami to win, use the sportsbook’s actual same-game parlay quote; the individual records don’t supply combined odds or a probability.
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