Deni Avdija scored 24 points without making a three-pointer in Portland’s latest game. If you’re backing a Trail Blazers win at Utah, his 18-point line gives you room for another productive scoring night without needing the outside shot to fall.
Scoot Henderson offers a different route: finish with three rebounds or fewer. These Trail Blazers parlay picks compare Avdija’s scoring milestone with Henderson’s rebound under, including the previous Utah win in which both missed their marks. These Side & Support options start with a hypothetical Portland win; you can choose which supporting prop fits that view.
Trail Blazers parlay picks: scoring room or a rebound limit
Both records cover completed Portland appearances from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, including the postseason, with the same dates and participation rules in both columns. This season supplies only four games per player and three Portland wins. These are historical hit rates, not today’s probabilities. Individual DraftKings prices can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | In Portland wins | All Portland games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija 18+ points |
−430 | 92.5% 37 of 40 Portland wins |
85.5% 65 of 76 appearances |
| Scoot Henderson Under 3.5 rebounds |
−151 | 87.0% 20 of 23 Portland wins |
85.0% 34 of 40 appearances |
Deni Avdija: 18+ points at −430
Avdija’s current scoring gives this line a useful comparison with the more familiar 20-point mark. He opened the season with exactly 18 in 23 minutes during the win over Phoenix, then scored 26, 23 and 24. The 20-point offer was −276; taking 18 at −430 gives up some payout to cover a finish like that opener.
His latest 24 came on 8-of-16 shooting and eight made free throws against Memphis, despite going 0-for-4 from three. He has ways to reach this target without a hot perimeter night. Across his first four games he’s taken 15 or 16 shots each time, while averaging 31½ minutes.
The heavy price still deserves a comparison with the lower line. Fifteen points was −920 and would have covered only one more Portland win in this history than 18 did. If you want a scoring option alongside Portland, 18 preserves a little more payout than that lower milestone while keeping room below 20.
It hasn’t been automatic against Utah. Avdija had 19 and 33 in two previous meetings in this window, but finished with 17 in the March win despite playing 32 minutes. He also scored 14 in 30 minutes in Portland’s playoff win over San Antonio in April. Those are useful reminders that a team win and a regular workload can still leave him short.
Scoot Henderson: under 3.5 rebounds at −151
Henderson’s under asks for a quieter rebounding contribution, rather than a quiet scoring game. He had two, one and two rebounds in Portland’s three wins this season. The longer record is nearly as consistent across all his Portland appearances as in wins, so this is a limit that has often held across different results.
The latest game supplied the miss: four rebounds in 19 minutes against Memphis, made up of one offensive board and three defensive boards. All four count. He doesn’t need a long night on the floor to beat the under, and a fourth rebound is enough to lose it.
His earlier Utah games show why minutes matter. Henderson had one rebound in 20 minutes in February, then five in 30 minutes during the March win. He also scored 25 in that second game. A Portland win can come with a much larger contribution from him than this line allows on the boards.
Portland reported Ja Morant’s hamstring strain after its latest game. Morant is out, which makes Henderson’s role especially relevant. He’s come off the bench in all four games this season and played between 17 and 21 minutes, averaging 19. The older Portland games averaged about 25 minutes. If Morant’s absence brings more work, don’t treat that recent 17-to-21-minute range as fixed; the 30-minute Utah appearance is a reason to weigh the under more carefully.
At −151, the under offers a larger individual payout than Avdija’s scoring milestone, with that added sensitivity to Henderson’s workload. It lets him collect three rebounds, but the latest four-board game shows how little separates a clearance from a miss.
Decide which uncertainty you want to take on
Avdija’s 18-versus-20 choice comes down to how much scoring room you want to pay for. Henderson’s under makes the guard rotation more important, especially with Morant out. Neither requires the other, and their separate Portland-win records don’t establish a combined probability.
Check the latest lines on the Trail Blazers–Jazz matchup page, or explore more ideas in our NBA coverage.
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