Freddy Peralta has allowed no more than one earned run in each of his last nine starts for Tampa Bay. If you’re backing a Rays win in World Series Game 3, that recent stretch gives his earned-run under a clear place to start—even though his first few Rays outings looked very different.
The other support comes from a Junior Caminero hit and Sal Frelick finishing without a run scored. For this Side & Support edition, the idea is to work outward from a Tampa Bay win into the pitching and hitting performances that fit it, then compare the records, requirements and prices. These Rays parlay picks offer three routes to weigh.
Three props to weigh with a Rays win
The records below cover each player’s starts for his current team in the seasons shown, including the playoffs.
| Player & prop | Odds | TB wins / MIL loses | All starts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta Under 1.5 earned runs Rays · 2026 starts |
−106 | 81.8% 9 of 11 Rays wins |
69.2% 9 of 13 starts |
| Junior Caminero Over 0.5 hits Rays · 2025–26 starts |
−235 | 81.3% 143 of 176 Rays wins |
70.5% 229 of 325 starts |
| Sal Frelick Under 0.5 runs scored Brewers · 2026 starts |
−314 | 84.8% 28 of 33 Brewers losses |
66.0% 64 of 97 starts |
Freddy Peralta: under 1.5 earned runs allowed
Peralta’s earned-run under is −106 at DraftKings. He has allowed zero or one earned run in nine of his eleven starts in Rays wins, compared with nine of thirteen Tampa Bay starts overall. Those records cover his work for the Rays this season, beginning in August.
The recent stretch is the strongest part of the case. His three postseason starts produced one, zero and one earned run, all in Tampa Bay wins. His two winning misses came in his first two Rays starts, when he allowed seven and three earned runs.
This is a current-team and recent-form angle, rather than a long-running habit. Across his Mets and Rays starts together this season, the same under landed in thirteen of twenty-one games his team won. That broader record is much less convincing, which is why the Tampa Bay improvement matters to this choice.
This line only counts earned runs charged to Peralta; anything Milwaukee scores against Tampa Bay’s bullpen is a separate matter.
Junior Caminero: over 0.5 hits
Caminero’s one-hit requirement is −235. Across his Rays starts in the 2025 and 2026 seasons, including this postseason, he has recorded a hit in 143 of 176 Tampa Bay wins. The all-game comparison is 229 of 325 starts.
This season tells a similar story: at least one hit in 84 of 105 starts in Rays wins, compared with 128 of 173 starts overall.
He has a hit in six of his seven starts in Tampa Bay’s postseason wins. He also had one in both World Series losses, so this is an option that’s held up even when the Rays haven’t won.
Sal Frelick: under 0.5 runs scored
Frelick’s run-scored under is −314. He has gone without scoring in 28 of his 33 starts in Brewers losses this season, compared with 64 of 97 Milwaukee starts overall.
This leaves room for Frelick to get a hit or reach base. The requirement is that he never comes around to score, so what the hitters behind him do matters too. It can fit a Rays-win view that still allows Milwaukee some traffic on the bases.
Frelick just homered in Game 2 and has scored in four of his seven postseason starts. His only October start in a Brewers loss ended without a run, so the larger season-long record gives us more to go on here.
The longer lookback also softens this angle. Across the 2025 and 2026 seasons together, he went without a run in 74 of 94 starts in Milwaukee losses—78.7%, below this year’s 84.8%. The current-season split deserves consideration, but its −314 price is the most expensive of these three options.
Rays parlay picks: choosing your support
Peralta brings the lightest price and the sharpest recent improvement. Caminero offers the deeper history, with his current-season record still reaching a hit in four of five Rays wins. Frelick’s under is a different way to express a Rays win, but the cost, recent scoring and weaker two-season record make it the one to examine most carefully.
Peralta’s under and Frelick’s no-run line both lean on keeping Milwaukee’s scoring down. Caminero adds a different requirement: one hit. Compare your sportsbook’s SGP price and choose the support that fits your Rays pick.
Individual DraftKings prices can change. Follow the Brewers–Rays Game 3 matchup for game lines and player information, or compare the MLB betting board.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.