Joel Eriksson Ek scored and Kirill Kaprizov picked up an assist in Minnesota’s 4–3 loss to the Islanders last Thursday. A repeat of those stat lines would be enough for both unders here, even if the Wild get a few goals.
These Flyers parlay picks start with a Philadelphia win at +145 on DraftKings. If you’re backing the Flyers, the choice is whether to fade a multi-point night from Kaprizov or a single assist from Eriksson Ek.
How much offense can Minnesota’s top line produce?
Kaprizov can score once or pick up one assist and still stay under his line. Eriksson Ek can score and still finish without an assist. Both records cover Minnesota appearances across this season and last, with Wild losses compared against the same player’s full sample.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov Under 1.5 points 2025–26 and 2026–27 Wild appearances |
−155 | 82.6% (38/46) Wild losses |
65.7% (69/105) |
| Joel Eriksson Ek Under 0.5 assists 2025–26 and 2026–27 Wild appearances |
−160 | 89.2% (33/37) Wild losses |
62.0% (57/92) |
Kirill Kaprizov under 1.5 points (−155)
Kaprizov stayed under two points in 38 of 46 Wild losses and 69 of 105 appearances overall. The one-point allowance is the appeal. His assist against the Islanders is a good example of how he can help Minnesota score and still finish under this line.
His current loss record is weaker at four of six. He scored twice against Winnipeg and had a goal and an assist against Edmonton, both Minnesota defeats. Those games matter here because the Wild can lose without Philadelphia holding Kaprizov below two contributions.
At −155, this is the slightly cheaper of the two offers. Kaprizov is projected on the top line. If you expect Minnesota to score but Philadelphia to keep him from having a hand in multiple goals, the line leaves some room for that view.
Joel Eriksson Ek under 0.5 assists (−160)
Eriksson Ek finished without an assist in 33 of 37 Minnesota losses and 57 of 92 games overall. This season he has gone without one in all six Wild losses and nine of 16 appearances overall. Thursday’s goal against the Islanders shows why an assist market can work even if he scores.
His latest game also shows how quickly the under can lose. He had two assists in 19:33 in Sunday’s 5–1 win over Washington. He has set up goals in losses as well, including against Dallas in the playoffs. One assist beats the line.
At −160, the choice asks Philadelphia to limit Eriksson Ek’s playmaking from the projected top line. You have a larger gap between his loss and all-game records than with Kaprizov, though the current six-loss run still comes from a small sample.
Pick the contribution you want to limit
Kaprizov’s line gives him room for one point. Eriksson Ek’s gives him room to score, but any assist beats it. They’re projected to share a line, so one scoring sequence can affect both outcomes. If you see a goal coming from that line, think about who’s most likely to set it up before you choose an under.
Follow the live Wild–Flyers matchup for game updates or browse the NHL article archive for more hockey coverage.
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