If you like Ottawa to win in Buffalo, look at what the Sabres’ players have done in losses. Rasmus Dahlin has still put at least three shots on net in four of the five Buffalo losses he’s played in this season. DraftKings had his over 2.5 shots at −110 on November 4.
Tage Thompson’s assists tell a different story. He’s gone without one in all seven Buffalo losses this season. DraftKings had his under 0.5 assists at −160.
Senators parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin Over 2.5 shots on goal 2026–27 regular season |
−110 | 80.0% 4 of 5 Sabres losses |
72.7% 8 of 11 appearances |
| Tage Thompson Under 0.5 assists 2026–27 regular season |
−160 | 100.0% 7 of 7 Sabres losses |
57.1% 8 of 14 appearances |
Rasmus Dahlin over 2.5 shots on goal
Dahlin put four shots on net in Buffalo losses to Columbus, Utah and Philadelphia, and three in a loss to Washington. Dallas held him to one. He’s projected on Buffalo’s top defensive pair, but he’s had just two shots in two of his last three appearances, including the latest game against Los Angeles.
He’s reached three shots in eight of 11 appearances this season. From October 21, 2025, through the end of last regular season, he cleared the same line in 13 of 24 Buffalo losses. The −110 price is the longer of these two options. It fits if you expect Dahlin to get his chances even with Ottawa ahead.
Tage Thompson under 0.5 assists
Thompson had zero assists in all seven Buffalo losses this season and in eight of 14 appearances overall. His latest game shows how the under can cash even when he drives the scoring. He scored twice against Los Angeles and finished without an assist.
He’s projected on Buffalo’s top line and had two assists in the recent win over Anaheim. He went without an assist in 19 of 27 Buffalo losses from October 21, 2025, through the end of last regular season. At −160, you’re paying more for the clean recent loss split, even though he picked up an assist in eight of those 27 losses last season.
How the two props fit an Ottawa win
Dahlin can clear his line without Buffalo converting any of his shots. Thompson’s under fits if you see Ottawa keeping him from setting up a goal, even if he still gets his own chances. Dahlin pays more on his own. Thompson has the cleaner record in Buffalo losses this season.
Follow the Senators–Sabres matchup for current game context or explore more NHL parlay ideas.
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