Anthony Cirelli has gone without a goal or assist in all five Tampa Bay losses this season. If you’re backing Chicago in Tampa, those Lightning defeats give you a place to start looking at his points under.
Nikita Kucherov offers another angle from those same defeats. His shots under allows him to put three on net, while Cirelli’s points under needs him to stay off the scoresheet entirely. The table includes last season’s Tampa Bay games too, so you can weigh more than five recent losses.
Blackhawks parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cirelli Under 0.5 points Regular season since Oct. 21, 2025 |
−110 | 80.8% 21 of 26 Lightning losses |
55.7% 44 of 79 appearances |
| Nikita Kucherov Under 3.5 shots on goal Regular season since Oct. 21, 2025 |
−145 | 80.0% 24 of 30 Lightning losses |
70.9% 61 of 86 appearances |
Both rows cover regular-season appearances with Tampa Bay since October 21, 2025. This season supplies five of the Lightning losses in each row.
Anthony Cirelli under 0.5 points
Cirelli is projected on Tampa Bay’s second line. He’s been getting regular shifts even when Tampa Bay loses. He played more than 17 minutes in each of Tampa Bay’s last three losses and finished scoreless each time.
He had a point in the latest win over Detroit and three in the win over Winnipeg before the Nashville loss. Chicago would need to keep him from making that kind of contribution.
DraftKings offered −110 for the points under. His assist under was −265. You get the bigger individual payout at −110, but a goal would beat the points under even if he finishes without an assist.
This season, he’s gone scoreless in five of five losses and eight of 14 appearances overall. Before this season, he went without a point in 16 of 21 losses and 36 of 65 appearances in that window. The stronger recent record is part of the appeal, with those five earlier losses showing where the under fell short.
Nikita Kucherov under 3.5 shots on goal
Kucherov’s under gives you more room within the player’s own performance. He can score or set up teammates and still finish with three shots or fewer. He’s stayed in that range in each of his last six games, including three-shot nights against Utah, Winnipeg and Detroit.
That recent pattern has extended beyond Tampa Bay defeats. He’s stayed under in 12 of 14 appearances this season, including all five losses. The under has been common across both results. His two misses were eight shots against Seattle and seven against Vancouver, both wins.
Six of the 30 losses in the table included at least four shots. Before this season, he stayed under in 19 of 25 losses and 49 of 72 appearances within the same window. He’s projected on the top line, and his nearly 24 minutes in the recent Nashville defeat show that he can get plenty of ice time even when Tampa Bay loses.
At −145, the shots under pays less on the same stake than Cirelli’s −110 points under. You have room for three shots, and a Kucherov goal or assist can still fit the bet.
Decide how Chicago gets there
If you see Chicago keeping Cirelli out of the scoring, his under offers the bigger individual payout. If your view still leaves room for Kucherov to create chances, three shots or fewer may fit better. Both comparisons draw on Tampa Bay losses, and any combined price would need its own sportsbook quote.
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