Donovan Mitchell scored only 15 points in Cleveland’s latest win, but two of his five baskets were threes. If you’re backing the Cavaliers against Oklahoma City, that offers a different way to support the result: ask for two made threes rather than a big scoring total.
These Cavaliers parlay picks start with a hypothetical Cleveland moneyline win, quoted at −180 by DraftKings for Monday’s 7 p.m. EST game at Rocket Arena. Mitchell’s two-threes target is one route; Isaiah Hartenstein under 3.5 assists is another. Side & Support compares the first with Cleveland wins and the second with Oklahoma City losses, giving you individual choices around the side you want to back.
Cavaliers parlay picks: shooting or an assist under
The records cover each player’s appearances for his current club from the start of the 2025–26 season through Saturday, including the playoffs. Each result-based record uses the same period and participation as its all-game comparison. Hartenstein’s losing-game sample is much smaller than Mitchell’s winning-game sample. Individual DraftKings odds are a November 2 morning snapshot and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell 2+ threes |
−320 | 86.0% 49 of 57 Cavaliers wins |
85.1% 80 of 94 appearances |
| Isaiah Hartenstein Under 3.5 assists |
−157 | 92.9% 13 of 14 Thunder losses |
69.1% 47 of 68 appearances |
Donovan Mitchell: 2+ threes at −320
Mitchell has made at least two threes in all four Cavaliers wins this season. Three of those nights ended on exactly two: against Brooklyn, Washington and Milwaukee. That makes the gap between two and three particularly useful to think about, rather than treating them as almost the same scoring requirement.
DraftKings quotes three or more threes at −110, compared with −320 for two. Across the full period, Mitchell made three in 31 of his 57 Cleveland wins; two cleared in 49. You’re paying a much heavier price for that extra room. The recent wins illustrate what the lower target buys, without making it a guarantee.
His overall record is close to his winning-game record, so you don’t have to assume a Cleveland win causes a shooting surge. This season, the target has cleared in five of six games.
The one current miss came against Atlanta, when Mitchell made only one of nine threes in 33 minutes. He had the attempts and still didn’t get there. Nor has a playoff win always been enough: he finished one-for-eight from deep in 42 minutes in Cleveland’s 117–113 playoff win on May 13, 2026. A long night and a successful team result can both coexist with a missed shooting target.
The appeal is choosing a part of Mitchell’s scoring that has often held up even when he doesn’t pile up points. His two threes in 24 minutes against Milwaukee supported this option while his 15-point total fell short of an 18-point scoring target. Keep the price in view: −320 asks for a larger stake relative to the profit than the three-threes alternative.
Isaiah Hartenstein: under 3.5 assists at −157
Hartenstein gives you a less expensive way to support a Cleveland win without needing an Oklahoma City scoring collapse. He had 10 points and 14 rebounds in the Thunder’s loss to Dallas, but only three assists. In the latest loss to Houston, he again scored 10 and finished without an assist. Both nights stayed under this line despite different contributions elsewhere.
He’s finished with three or fewer assists in all six games this season, including Oklahoma City’s two losses. His broader losing-game record is stronger than his overall record, but it comes from only 14 defeats. That small sample leaves more uncertainty than the high percentage might suggest.
The exception is substantial. Hartenstein had 11 assists in 25 minutes when Oklahoma City lost 112–106 to Houston on February 7, 2026. He doesn’t need an unusually long appearance to become a major part of the passing game. His latest Houston loss, with zero assists in the same 25 minutes, shows how differently two games can play out.
Oklahoma City’s current injuries also matter. Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams are out, along with Alex Caruso and Cason Wallace. Hartenstein is expected to start, and the older losing-game record spans different Thunder lineups. His current assist totals support the under, but those absences aren’t proof that he’ll keep the same passing responsibilities.
Three assists would still clear this option; a fourth would beat it. That is the room you’re buying at −157. You can consider it if your view of a Cleveland win includes Hartenstein contributing as a scorer or rebounder without repeatedly setting up teammates.
Choose the contribution that fits your Cleveland view
Mitchell offers the familiar shooting target at the heavier price. Hartenstein offers the lighter cost and a stronger separation between his losing-game and overall records, with a smaller sample and a memorable passing counterexample.
You can choose either route without taking both. Their separate historical rates don’t establish a combined chance of success, and a sportsbook can adjust the price of related selections. Check the actual combined quote before adding either option. Follow the live Thunder–Cavaliers matchup for the game markets, or explore more NBA parlay ideas.
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