CFB matchup

09/04/20269:00 PMStanford StadiumStanford, CA

Miami7 – 0vsStanford4 – 4

Sharp side

🏠 Stanford +24.5

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 46.5

Model value

Model trendMiami Hurricanes games: +0.76 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Hurricanes went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.76 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Miami Hurricanes	31.1	94.1%
Stanford Cardinal	9.2	5.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Miami Hurricanes	A	A-	A
Stanford Cardinal	C	C+	C

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Stanford Stadium in Stanford, with abstracted spectators and unbranded venue details.

Miami vs. Stanford Preview: A New Quarterback, an Early TestMiami opens its season at Stanford on Friday. Darian Mensah’s debut and the Cardinal’s opening-week progress give this ACC matchup its intrigue.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-4000-24.5 (-108)

STAN+1600+24.5 (-112)

Total 46.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-3000-24.5 (-108)

STAN+1550+24.5 (-110)

Total 46.5Over -108Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-10000-24.5 (-110)

STAN+1400+24.5 (-113)

Total 47.0Over -112Under -112

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-3500-24.5 (-110)

STAN+1300+24.5 (-109)

Total 46.5Over -106Under -114

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-3400-24.5 (-105)

STAN+1500+24.5 (-115)

Total 46.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-4000-24.5 (-108)

STAN+1400+24.5 (-112)

Total 46.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-3000-24.5 (-115)

STAN+1100+24.5 (-105)

Total 46.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA-4000-24.5 (-105)

STAN+1300+24.5 (-115)

Total 46.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Hurricanes

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/19/26	@ IU	L 21–27	W +7.5	O 47.5
1/8/26	vs MISS	W 31–27	W -3	O 52.5
12/31/25	vs OSU	W 24–14	W +7.5	U 39.5
12/20/25	@ TA&M	W 10–3	W +3	U 48.5
11/29/25	@ PITT	W 38–7	W -6.5	U 49.5
11/22/25	@ VT	W 34–17	L -17.5	O 48.5
11/15/25	vs NCSU	W 41–7	W -16.5	U 54.5
11/8/25	vs SYR	W 38–10	L -28.5	O 47.5
11/1/25	@ SMU	L 20–26	L -6.5	U 46.5
10/25/25	vs STAN	W 42–7	W -28.5	O 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Stanford Cardinal

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
8/29/26	vs HAW	W 37–27	W -4.5	O 48.5
11/29/25	vs ND	L 20–49	W +33.5	O 49.5
11/22/25	vs CAL	W 31–10	W +4.5	U 47.5
11/8/25	@ UNC	L 15–20	W +8.5	U 41.5
11/1/25	vs PITT	L 20–35	L +13.5	O 52.5
10/25/25	@ MIA	L 7–42	L +28.5	O 45.5
10/18/25	vs FSU	W 20–13	W +17.5	U 55.5
10/11/25	@ SMU	L 10–34	L +19.5	U 55.5
9/27/25	vs SJSU	W 30–29	L -3.5	O 49.5
9/20/25	@ UVA	L 20–48	L +16.5	O 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Miami and Stanford
	Statistic
408.5 (409.4)	Total Yards	235.5 (322.9)
255.8 (256.4)	Passing Yards	197.5 (238.8)
22.3 (22.3)	Pass Completions	18.8 (19.3)
31.0 (31.0)	Pass Attempts	34.2 (32.9)
152.8 (153.0)	Rushing Yards	38.0 (84.2)
35.2 (35.3)	Rushing Attempts	29.3 (32.2)
21.7 (21.8)	First Downs	15.3 (17.4)