CFB matchup
09/07/20267:30 PMDoak Campbell StadiumTallahassee, FL

SMUvsFlorida State

Sharp side
🏠 Florida State +2.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 53.5
Model value

How ratings work:One star marks a lighter model lean; five stars marks the strongest model value. Team strength is shown exclusively as letter grades.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
SMU MustangsA-B+A-
Florida State SeminolesBBB
Model forecast

Projected outcome

TeamImpliedProjectedWin probability
SMU Mustangs28.025.850.9%
Florida State Seminoles25.525.549.1%
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-142-2.5 (-115)
FSU+120+2.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-135-2.5 (-115)
FSU+115+2.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-139-2.5 (-113)
FSU+112+2.5 (-110)
Total 52.5Over -109Under -114
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-143-2.5 (-114)
FSU+121+2.5 (-106)
Total 53.0Over -113Under -108
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-140-2.5 (-110)
FSU+120+2.5 (-110)
Total 53.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-146-2.5 (-115)
FSU+122+2.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-140-2.5 (-115)
FSU+120+2.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SMU-150-3.0 (-105)
FSU+130+3.0 (-115)
Total 52.5Over -115Under -105
Team comparison

Projected team stats

Projected team statistics for SMU and Florida State
Team statSMUFlorida State
PassesN/AN/A
CompletionsN/AN/A
Pass YdsN/AN/A
INTs ThrownN/AN/A
RushesN/AN/A
Rush YdsN/AN/A
Fumbles LostN/AN/A
PenaltiesN/AN/A
Penalty YdsN/AN/A

Projection note: Pregame projections do not update during the game. They may inform in-game decisions, but should be used with caution and proper judgment.

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