CFB matchup

09/12/202612:00 PMMichigan StadiumAnn Arbor, MI

Oklahoma4 – 3vsMichigan4 – 3

Sharp side

🏠 Michigan +5.5

Model value

Model trendMichigan Wolverines games: +2.53 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Michigan Wolverines went 5–2 (71.4%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 43.5

Model value

Model trendOklahoma Sooners games: +4.49 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Oklahoma Sooners went 6–1 (85.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.49 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Oklahoma Sooners	22.0	58.5%
Michigan Wolverines	19.0	41.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Oklahoma Sooners	B+	A+	A
Michigan Wolverines	A-	A	A-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor

Oklahoma vs. Michigan Preview: Passing Game Meets Ground AttackOklahoma’s projected passing advantage meets Michigan’s ground-oriented outlook in Ann Arbor, where the Sooners were listed as 5.5-point favorites.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-205-5.5 (-108)

MICH+170+5.5 (-112)

Total 43.5Over -108Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-210-5.0 (-110)

MICH+175+5.0 (-108)

Total 43.5Over -108Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-230-5.0 (-124)

MICH+175+5.0 (+100)

Total 43.5Over -114Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-213-4.5 (-114)

MICH+176+4.5 (-105)

Total 43.5Over -109Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-215-5.0 (-110)

MICH+185+5.0 (-110)

Total 43.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-205-4.5 (-115)

MICH+172+4.5 (-105)

Total 43.5Over -108Under -112

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-240-5.5 (-110)

MICH+180+5.5 (-110)

Total 43.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

OU-200-4.5 (-115)

MICH+170+4.5 (-105)

Total 43.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Oklahoma Sooners

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/4/26	vs UTEP	W 51–0	W -40.5	U 51.5
12/19/25	vs ALA	L 24–34	L -2.5	O 42.5
11/29/25	vs LSU	W 17–13	L -11.5	U 36.5
11/22/25	vs MIZ	W 17–6	W -4.5	U 42.5
11/15/25	@ ALA	W 23–21	W +6.5	U 46.5
11/1/25	@ TENN	W 33–27	W +2.5	O 55.5
10/25/25	vs MISS	L 26–34	L -5.5	O 52.5
10/18/25	@ SC	W 26–7	W -4.5	U 43.5
10/11/25	vs TEX	L 6–23	L +2.5	U 43.5
10/4/25	vs KENT	W 44–0	L -46.5	U 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Michigan Wolverines

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS2–8–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/5/26	vs WMU	W 13–12	L -27.5	U 50.5
12/31/25	vs TEX	L 27–41	L +4	O 50.5
11/29/25	vs OSU	L 9–27	L +9.5	U 43.5
11/22/25	@ MD	W 45–20	W -13.5	O 46.5
11/15/25	@ NU	W 24–22	L -10.5	O 42.5
11/1/25	vs PUR	W 21–16	L -22.5	U 48.5
10/25/25	@ MSU	W 31–20	L -13.5	O 47.5
10/18/25	vs WASH	W 24–7	W -4.5	U 50.5
10/11/25	@ USC	L 13–31	L +2.5	U 57.5
10/4/25	vs WIS	W 24–10	L -17.5	U 42.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Oklahoma and Michigan
	Statistic
320.4 (342.0)	Total Yards	341.7 (391.3)
220.4 (219.6)	Passing Yards	172.7 (183.8)
19.6 (18.8)	Pass Completions	14.8 (15.3)
33.3 (31.6)	Pass Attempts	25.5 (25.7)
100.0 (122.4)	Rushing Yards	169.0 (207.6)
31.6 (33.5)	Rushing Attempts	34.1 (38.6)
16.4 (17.8)	First Downs	16.9 (20.2)