CFB matchup
09/12/20263:30 PMKroger FieldLexington, KY

Alabama2 – 0vsKentucky1 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Alabama -8.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 46.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Alabama Crimson Tide27.079.1%
Kentucky Wildcats15.720.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Alabama Crimson TideAAA
Kentucky WildcatsA-A-A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-360-8.5 (-108)
UK+285+8.5 (-112)
Total 46.5Over -115Under -115
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-350-8.5 (-105)
UK+290+8.5 (-105)
Total 47.5Over -105Under -112
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-435-10.0 (+100)
UK+285+10.0 (-122)
Total 47.5Over -110Under -113
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-390-9.5 (-110)
UK+300+9.5 (-109)
Total 47.5Over -108Under -113
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-370-9.0 (-110)
UK+305+9.0 (-110)
Total 47.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-350-9.5 (-105)
UK+275+9.5 (-115)
Total 47.5Over -105Under -115
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-400-8.5 (-110)
UK+300+8.5 (-110)
Total 47.5Over -105Under -115
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-360-9.5 (-105)
UK+280+9.5 (-115)
Total 47.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Alabama Crimson Tide

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs ECUW 48–10W -28.5O 52.5
1/1/26vs IUL 3–38L +7.5U 46.5
12/19/25@ OUW 34–24W +2.5O 42.5
12/6/25vs UGAL 7–28L +1.5U 48.5
11/29/25@ AUBW 27–20W -6.5U 48.5
11/22/25vs EIUW 56–0W -54.5U 59.5
11/15/25vs OUL 21–23L -6.5U 46.5
11/8/25vs LSUW 20–9W -10.5U 49.5
10/25/25@ SCW 29–22L -12.5O 47.5
10/18/25vs TENNW 37–20W -8.5U 60.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Kentucky Wildcats

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs YSUW 45–13W -22.5U 61.5
11/29/25@ LOUL 0–41L -1.5U 45.5
11/22/25@ VANL 17–45L +6.5O 53.5
11/15/25vs TNTCW 42–10W -22.5U 52.5
11/8/25vs FLAW 38–7W +5.5O 44.5
11/1/25@ AUBW 10–3W +11.5U 44.5
10/25/25vs TENNL 34–56L +7.5O 54.5
10/18/25vs TEXL 13–16W +13.5U 45.5
10/4/25@ UGAL 14–35L +19.5U 49.5
9/27/25@ SCL 13–35L +6.5O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Alabama and Kentucky
Statistic
22.2 (22.1)Pass Completions20.5 (20.1)
34.5 (34.2)Pass Attempts32.5 (30.8)
253.7 (256.3)Passing Yards199.4 (222.9)
31.3 (32.1)Rushing Attempts32.5 (35.1)
99.5 (106.4)Rushing Yards95.0 (134.8)
353.3 (362.7)Total Yards294.3 (357.7)
19.9 (20.4)First Downs18.2 (20.5)



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