CFB matchup

09/12/20267:30 PMDKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX

Ohio State6 – 1vsTexas5 – 2

Sharp side

✈️ Ohio State +2.5

Model value

Model trendTexas Longhorns games: +5.38 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Texas Longhorns are on a 6-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 5.38 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 50.5

Model value

Model trendTexas Longhorns games: +0.64 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Texas Longhorns went 4–3 (57.1%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.64 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Ohio State Buckeyes	25.8	56.1%
Texas Longhorns	23.7	43.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Ohio State Buckeyes	A+	A+	A+
Texas Longhorns	A	A+	A+

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, with anonymous painterly figures and abstracted signage.

Ohio State vs. Texas Preview: What the 1.5-Point Spread SaysOhio State and Texas meet in Austin with 1-0 records, A+ team grades and Texas favored by 1.5 points. Here’s what separates the matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+110+2.5 (-118)

TEX-130-2.5 (-102)

Total 50.5Over -118Under -102

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+110+2.0 (-110)

TEX-130-2.0 (-108)

Total 50.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+105+1.5 (-109)

TEX-130-1.5 (-114)

Total 50.5Over -110Under -113

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+104+1.5 (-110)

TEX-122-1.5 (-110)

Total 49.5Over -114Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+115+2.5 (-105)

TEX-135-2.5 (-115)

Total 51.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+106+1.5 (-104)

TEX-124-1.5 (-118)

Total 50.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+110+2.5 (-110)

TEX-135-2.5 (-110)

Total 50.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

OSU+106+1.5 (-105)

TEX-119-1.5 (-108)

Total 50.5Over -114Under +102

Recent form

Last 10 games

Ohio State Buckeyes

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/5/26	vs BALL	W 56–3	W -50.5	O 55.5
12/31/25	vs MIA	L 14–24	L -7.5	U 39.5
12/6/25	vs IU	L 10–13	L -3.5	U 45.5
11/29/25	@ MICH	W 27–9	W -9.5	U 43.5
11/22/25	vs RUTG	W 42–9	W -28.5	U 54.5
11/15/25	vs UCLA	W 48–10	W -32.5	O 46.5
11/8/25	@ PUR	W 34–10	L -30.5	U 49.5
11/1/25	vs PSU	W 38–14	W -17.5	O 45.5
10/18/25	@ WIS	W 34–0	W -24.5	U 41.5
10/11/25	@ ILL	W 34–16	W -15.5	U 51.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Longhorns

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/5/26	vs TXST	W 59–7	W -29.5	O 61.5
12/31/25	vs MICH	W 41–27	W -4	O 50.5
11/28/25	vs TA&M	W 27–17	W +2.5	U 54.5
11/22/25	vs ARK	W 52–37	W -10.5	O 57.5
11/15/25	@ UGA	L 10–35	L +3.5	U 50.5
11/1/25	vs VAN	W 34–31	L -3.5	O 48.5
10/25/25	@ MSST	W 45–38	L -8.5	O 49.5
10/18/25	@ UK	W 16–13	L -13.5	U 45.5
10/11/25	vs OU	W 23–6	W -2.5	U 43.5
10/4/25	@ FLA	L 21–29	L -4.5	O 42.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Ohio State and Texas
	Statistic
392.5 (441.0)	Total Yards	326.9 (396.5)
267.8 (283.5)	Passing Yards	216.0 (261.0)
22.7 (23.6)	Pass Completions	18.9 (20.5)
30.3 (30.5)	Pass Attempts	32.4 (32.7)
124.7 (157.5)	Rushing Yards	110.8 (135.5)
32.5 (33.7)	Rushing Attempts	30.9 (32.8)
21.6 (23.6)	First Downs	17.0 (19.9)