CFB matchup
09/12/20267:30 PMDKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX

Ohio State1 – 1vsTexas2 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Ohio State +2.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 50.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Ohio State Buckeyes25.856.1%
Texas Longhorns23.743.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Ohio State BuckeyesAAA
Texas LonghornsAA+A+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+110+2.5 (-118)
TEX-130-2.5 (-102)
Total 50.5Over -118Under -102
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+110+2.0 (-110)
TEX-130-2.0 (-108)
Total 50.5Over -115Under -105
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+105+1.5 (-109)
TEX-130-1.5 (-114)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -113
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+104+1.5 (-110)
TEX-122-1.5 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -114Under -105
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+115+2.5 (-105)
TEX-135-2.5 (-115)
Total 51.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+106+1.5 (-104)
TEX-124-1.5 (-118)
Total 50.5Over -115Under -105
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+110+2.5 (-110)
TEX-135-2.5 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -115Under -105
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
OSU+106+1.5 (-105)
TEX-119-1.5 (-108)
Total 50.5Over -114Under +102
Recent form

Last 10 games

Ohio State Buckeyes

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs BALLW 56–3W -50.5O 55.5
12/31/25vs MIAL 14–24L -7.5U 39.5
12/6/25vs IUL 10–13L -3.5U 45.5
11/29/25@ MICHW 27–9W -9.5U 43.5
11/22/25vs RUTGW 42–9W -28.5U 54.5
11/15/25vs UCLAW 48–10W -32.5O 46.5
11/8/25@ PURW 34–10L -30.5U 49.5
11/1/25vs PSUW 38–14W -17.5O 45.5
10/18/25@ WISW 34–0W -24.5U 41.5
10/11/25@ ILLW 34–16W -15.5U 51.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Longhorns

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/5/26vs TXSTW 59–7W -29.5O 61.5
12/31/25vs MICHW 41–27W -4O 50.5
11/28/25vs TA&MW 27–17W +2.5U 54.5
11/22/25vs ARKW 52–37W -10.5O 57.5
11/15/25@ UGAL 10–35L +3.5U 50.5
11/1/25vs VANW 34–31L -3.5O 48.5
10/25/25@ MSSTW 45–38L -8.5O 49.5
10/18/25@ UKW 16–13L -13.5U 45.5
10/11/25vs OUW 23–6W -2.5U 43.5
10/4/25@ FLAL 21–29L -4.5O 42.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Ohio State and Texas
Statistic
22.7 (23.6)Pass Completions18.9 (20.5)
30.3 (30.5)Pass Attempts32.4 (32.7)
267.8 (283.5)Passing Yards216.0 (261.0)
32.5 (33.7)Rushing Attempts30.9 (32.8)
124.7 (157.5)Rushing Yards110.8 (135.5)
392.5 (441.0)Total Yards326.9 (396.5)
21.6 (23.6)First Downs17.0 (19.9)



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