CFB matchup

09/12/202611:00 PMLos Angeles Memorial ColiseumLos Angeles, CA

Louisiana5 – 3vsUSC6 – 2

Sharp side

✈️ Louisiana +30.5

Model value

Model trendLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns games: +5.43 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns went 6–0–1 (100.0%, excluding pushes) this season, with 1 push, for an estimated profit of 5.43 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 58.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	15.2	2.6%
USC Trojans	42.5	97.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	D+	C	C-
USC Trojans	A+	A	A

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.

Louisiana vs. USC Preview: A 31.5-Point Spread Tests the TrojansUSC’s projections show a major statistical edge over Louisiana, but a 31.5-point spread makes the betting decision tougher than the matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+2000+30.5 (-102)

USC-6500-30.5 (-118)

Total 58.5Over -112Under -108

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+2500+30.5 (-108)

USC-10000-30.5 (-110)

Total 59.5Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL—+31.5 (-117)

USC—-31.5 (-106)

Total 60.0Over +100Under -122

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+1900+31.0 (-110)

USC-10000-31.0 (-109)

Total 59.5Over -110Under -109

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL—+30.0 (-110)

USC—-30.0 (-110)

Total 59.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+3000+30.5 (-105)

USC-10000-30.5 (-115)

Total 58.5Over -110Under -110

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+2500+31.5 (-115)

USC-15000-31.5 (-105)

Total 59.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

UL+3500+30.5 (-110)

USC-50000-30.5 (-110)

Total 58.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/5/26	vs LAM	W 38–7	W -20.5	U 48.5
12/17/25	vs DEL	L 13–20	L -1.5	U 60.5
11/29/25	vs ULM	W 30–27	L -10.5	O 47.5
11/20/25	@ ARST	W 34–30	W +2.5	O 54.5
11/8/25	vs TXST	W 42–39	W +3.5	O 63.5
11/1/25	@ USA	W 31–22	W +3.5	O 52.5
10/25/25	@ TROY	L 23–35	L +7.5	O 47.5
10/18/25	vs USM	L 10–22	L +4.5	U 54.5
10/11/25	@ JMU	L 14–24	W +18.5	U 45.5
9/27/25	vs MRSH	W 54–51	W +1.5	O 48.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

USC Trojans

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/4/26	vs FRES	W 39–0	W -21.5	U 51.5
8/29/26	vs SJSU	W 42–26	L -37.5	O 61.5
12/30/25	vs TCU	L 27–30	L -4.5	O 56.5
11/29/25	vs UCLA	W 29–10	L -21.5	U 59.5
11/22/25	@ ORE	L 27–42	L +12.5	O 60.5
11/15/25	vs IOWA	W 26–21	L -6.5	U 48.5
11/7/25	vs NU	W 38–17	W -14.5	O 54.5
11/1/25	@ NEB	W 21–17	L -4.5	U 58.5
10/18/25	@ ND	L 24–34	W +10.5	U 60.5
10/11/25	vs MICH	W 31–13	W -2.5	U 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Louisiana and USC
	Statistic
301.8 (360.1)	Total Yards	533.4 (442.8)
160.2 (180.2)	Passing Yards	330.9 (291.6)
13.6 (15.2)	Pass Completions	27.0 (22.7)
26.2 (26.7)	Pass Attempts	32.1 (33.1)
141.5 (179.9)	Rushing Yards	202.5 (151.2)
35.9 (40.0)	Rushing Attempts	37.6 (34.0)
14.5 (19.2)	First Downs	27.4 (23.8)