NFL matchup
09/13/20261:00 PMAcrisure StadiumPittsburgh, PA

Falcons0 – 1vsSteelers1 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Falcons +6.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 40.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Falcons18.029.9%
Pittsburgh Steelers23.770.1%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Atlanta FalconsCC-C
Pittsburgh SteelersC+B+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+240+6.5 (-108)
PIT-298-6.5 (-112)
Total 40.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+250+6.5 (-108)
PIT-300-6.5 (-110)
Total 40.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+235+6.5 (-110)
PIT-295-6.5 (-110)
Total 41.0Over -107Under -114
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+245+6.5 (-109)
PIT-310-6.5 (-109)
Total 40.5Over -114Under -105
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+260+6.5 (-110)
PIT-310-6.5 (-110)
Total 40.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+245+6.5 (-110)
PIT-300-6.5 (-110)
Total 40.5Over -112Under -108
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+260+6.5 (-105)
PIT-325-6.5 (-115)
Total 41.0Over -105Under -115
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+240+6.5 (-110)
PIT-290-6.5 (-110)
Total 40.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Falcons

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/4/26vs NOW 19–17L -3.5U 43.5
12/29/25vs LARW 27–24W +7.5O 48.5
12/21/25@ ARIW 26–19W -2.5U 48.5
12/11/25@ TBW 29–28W +6O 43.5
12/7/25vs SEAL 9–37L +7O 44.5
11/30/25@ NYJL 24–27L -3O 38.5
11/23/25@ NOW 24–10W +1.5U 40.5
11/16/25vs CARL 27–30L -4.5O 41.5
11/9/25vs INDL 25–31L +5.5O 48.5
11/2/25@ NEL 23–24W +5.5O 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/12/26vs HOUL 6–30L +3U 38.5
1/4/26vs BALW 26–24W +4.5O 41.5
12/28/25@ CLEL 6–13L -3.5U 34.5
12/21/25@ DETW 29–24W +7.5O 52.5
12/15/25vs MIAW 28–15W -3U 43.5
12/7/25@ BALW 27–22W +5.5O 43.5
11/30/25vs BUFL 7–26L +3U 44.5
11/23/25@ CHIL 28–31L +2.5O 47.5
11/16/25vs CINW 34–12W -5.5U 47.5
11/9/25@ LACL 10–25L +3.5U 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Falcons and Steelers
Statistic
19.1 (19.1)Pass Completions21.9 (21.2)
32.3 (31.4)Pass Attempts32.7 (32.6)
195.5 (202.1)Passing Yards204.8 (196.1)
27.0 (28.1)Rushing Attempts24.4 (23.8)
123.0 (129.3)Rushing Yards108.2 (103.9)
318.5 (331.4)Total Yards313.0 (300.0)
18.3 (19.2)First Downs18.1 (17.4)



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