NFL matchup

09/13/20261:00 PMEverBank StadiumJacksonville, FL

Browns5 – 2vsJaguars4 – 2

Sharp side

✈️ Browns +8.5

Model value

Model trendJacksonville Jaguars games: +0.98 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Jacksonville Jaguars went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.98 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 40.5

Model value

Model trendCleveland Browns games: +4.45 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Cleveland Browns went 6–1 (85.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.45 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cleveland Browns	17.2	27.0%
Jacksonville Jaguars	23.8	73.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Cleveland Browns	D	C+	C
Jacksonville Jaguars	A-	B+	A-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville.

Browns vs. Jaguars Preview: A Big Week 1 Spread Tests Cleveland’s OffenseJacksonville’s projected passing and first-down advantages frame the Week 1 spread, while Cleveland needs enough sustained offense to keep things close.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+360+8.5 (-105)

JAX-470-8.5 (-115)

Total 40.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+350+9.0 (-105)

JAX-450-9.0 (-105)

Total 40.0Over -110Under -108

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+325+9.0 (-112)

JAX-435-9.0 (-109)

Total 40.5Over -105Under -115

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+350+8.5 (-108)

JAX-460-8.5 (-112)

Total 40.5Over -115Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+360+8.5 (-110)

JAX-450-8.5 (-110)

Total 40.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+350+8.5 (-112)

JAX-450-8.5 (-108)

Total 40.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+375+9.0 (-110)

JAX-500-9.0 (-110)

Total 40.0Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+320+8.5 (-115)

JAX-425-8.5 (-105)

Total 40.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cleveland Browns

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/4/26	@ CIN	W 20–18	W +8.5	U 47.5
12/28/25	vs PIT	W 13–6	W +3.5	U 34.5
12/21/25	vs BUF	L 20–23	W +10.5	O 41.5
12/14/25	@ CHI	L 3–31	L +7.5	U 38.5
12/7/25	vs TEN	L 29–31	L -4.5	O 33.5
11/30/25	vs SF	L 8–26	L +5.5	U 35.5
11/23/25	@ LV	W 24–10	W +3.5	U 36.5
11/16/25	vs BAL	L 16–23	W +7.5	O 37.5
11/9/25	@ NYJ	L 20–27	L -2.5	O 37.5
10/26/25	@ NE	L 13–32	L +6.5	O 40.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS8–2–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/11/26	vs BUF	L 24–27	L -1.5	U 51.5
1/4/26	vs TEN	W 41–7	W -13.5	O 46.5
12/28/25	@ IND	W 23–17	W -4.5	U 48.5
12/21/25	@ DEN	W 34–20	W +3.5	O 46.5
12/14/25	vs NYJ	W 48–20	W -13.5	O 40.5
12/7/25	vs IND	W 36–19	W +2.5	O 44.5
11/30/25	@ TEN	W 25–3	W -6	U 42.5
11/23/25	@ ARI	W 27–24	W -1.5	O 46.5
11/16/25	vs LAC	W 35–6	W +2.5	U 42.5
11/9/25	@ HOU	L 29–36	L +2.5	O 38.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Browns and Jaguars
	Statistic
260.4 (258.1)	Total Yards	329.2 (336.2)
159.8 (158.1)	Passing Yards	219.2 (223.9)
18.1 (18.3)	Pass Completions	20.6 (20.2)
31.8 (32.1)	Pass Attempts	34.7 (33.1)
100.6 (100.0)	Rushing Yards	110.0 (112.4)
25.1 (24.8)	Rushing Attempts	27.0 (28.2)
15.5 (15.4)	First Downs	20.3 (21.0)