NFL matchup
09/13/20261:00 PMFord FieldDetroit, MI

Saints2 – 5vsLions4 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Lions -7
Model value
Model trendNew Orleans Saints games: +1.75 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring New Orleans Saints went 3–1 (75.0%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 1.75 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↓ Under 49.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New Orleans Saints19.218.8%
Detroit Lions28.881.2%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New Orleans SaintsC+C-C
Detroit LionsAD+B-
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Ford Field in Detroit.Saints vs. Lions Preview: Detroit’s Offensive Edge Meets a Full-Touchdown SpreadDetroit hosts New Orleans as a seven-point favorite in Week 1. Our grades and yardage projections favor the Lions, but the Saints’ defense and late-2025 form make the spread worth a closer look.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+260+7.0 (-110)
DET-325-7.0 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -115Under -105
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+270+7.0 (-112)
DET-325-7.0 (-105)
Total 50.0Over -108Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+265+7.0 (-110)
DET-345-7.0 (-110)
Total 49.5Over -112Under -109
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+265+7.0 (-115)
DET-335-7.0 (-105)
Total 49.5Over -118Under -102
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+280+7.0 (-115)
DET-340-7.0 (-105)
Total 50.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+275+6.5 (+100)
DET-340-6.5 (-122)
Total 49.5Over -115Under -105
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+275+7.0 (-110)
DET-350-7.0 (-110)
Total 50.0Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
NO+270+7.0 (-115)
DET-340-7.0 (-105)
Total 50.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

New Orleans Saints

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS6–3–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/4/26@ ATLL 17–19W +3.5U 43.5
12/28/25@ TENW 34–26W -1.5O 38.5
12/21/25vs NYJW 29–6W -7U 39.5
12/14/25vs CARW 20–17W +2.5U 41.5
12/7/25@ TBW 24–20W +7.5O 41.5
11/30/25@ MIAL 17–21—U 42.5
11/23/25vs ATLL 10–24L -1.5U 40.5
11/9/25@ CARW 17–7W +5.5U 38.5
11/2/25@ LARL 10–34L +14.5U 45.5
10/26/25vs TBL 3–23L +3.5U 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Lions

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS3–6–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/4/26@ CHIW 19–16W +3U 51.5
12/25/25@ MINL 10–23L -7.5U 45.5
12/21/25vs PITL 24–29L -7.5O 52.5
12/14/25@ LARL 34–41L +5.5O 54.5
12/4/25vs DALW 44–30W -3.5O 55.5
11/27/25vs GBL 24–31—O 48.5
11/23/25vs NYGW 34–27L -14.5O 50.5
11/16/25@ PHIL 9–16L +2.5U 45.5
11/9/25@ WSHW 44–22W -7.5O 48.5
11/2/25vs MINL 24–27L -9.5O 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Saints and Lions
Statistic
318.1 (313.5)Total Yards379.1 (381.1)
222.8 (220.0)Passing Yards255.6 (256.4)
23.0 (23.1)Pass Completions22.7 (22.7)
33.7 (34.1)Pass Attempts34.0 (33.9)
95.3 (93.5)Rushing Yards123.5 (124.7)
26.1 (25.8)Rushing Attempts26.2 (26.3)
18.7 (18.6)First Downs20.5 (20.6)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

New Orleans Saints
Depth chart unavailable
Detroit Lions
Depth chart unavailable


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