NFL matchup

09/13/20264:25 PMAllegiant StadiumLas Vegas, NV

Dolphins1 – 5vsRaiders3 – 4

Sharp side

🏠 Raiders -3

Model value

Model trendLas Vegas Raiders games: +6.51 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Las Vegas Raiders went 7–0 (100.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 6.51 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 40.5

Model value

Model trendMiami Dolphins games: +0.85 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Dolphins went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.85 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Miami Dolphins	18.2	28.1%
Las Vegas Raiders	24.5	71.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Miami Dolphins	D-	D+	D
Las Vegas Raiders	C	C	C

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.

Dolphins vs. Raiders Preview: Las Vegas Favored by 3Las Vegas is favored by three in its 2026 opener against Miami, but the Raiders’ stronger current grades must be weighed against Brock Bowers’ absence and the teams’ contrasting late-season records.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+142+3.0 (-110)

LV-170-3.0 (-110)

Total 40.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+138+3.0 (-110)

LV-165-3.0 (-108)

Total 40.5Over -105Under -112

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+130+3.0 (-108)

LV-159-3.0 (-113)

Total 40.5Over -107Under -114

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+139+3.0 (-110)

LV-164-3.0 (-110)

Total 40.5Over -105Under -114

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+135+3.0 (-115)

LV-155-3.0 (-105)

Total 40.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+138+3.0 (-108)

LV-164-3.0 (-112)

Total 40.5Over -105Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+140+3.0 (-105)

LV-165-3.0 (-115)

Total 40.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+135+3.0 (-105)

LV-155-3.0 (-115)

Total 40.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Dolphins

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS5–4–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/4/26	@ NE	L 10–38	L +14.5	O 43.5
12/28/25	vs TB	W 20–17	W +5.5	U 44.5
12/21/25	vs CIN	L 21–45	L +3.5	O 48.5
12/15/25	@ PIT	L 15–28	L +3	U 43.5
12/7/25	@ NYJ	W 34–10	W -2.5	O 41.5
11/30/25	vs NO	W 21–17	—	U 42.5
11/16/25	vs WSH	W 16–13	W -2.5	U 46.5
11/9/25	vs BUF	W 30–13	W +8.5	U 50.5
10/30/25	vs BAL	L 6–28	L +7.5	U 51.5
10/26/25	@ ATL	W 34–10	W +6.5	O 43.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Las Vegas Raiders

Overall1–9–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/4/26	vs KC	W 14–12	W +3.5	U 35.5
12/28/25	vs NYG	L 10–34	L +3	O 40.5
12/21/25	@ HOU	L 21–23	W +14.5	O 39.5
12/14/25	@ PHI	L 0–31	L +12.5	U 36.5
12/7/25	vs DEN	L 17–24	W +8.5	O 40.5
11/30/25	@ LAC	L 14–31	L +9.5	O 40.5
11/23/25	vs CLE	L 10–24	L -3.5	U 36.5
11/17/25	vs DAL	L 16–33	L +3.5	O 48.5
11/6/25	@ DEN	L 7–10	W +9.5	U 41.5
11/2/25	vs JAX	L 29–30	W +1.5	O 44.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Dolphins and Raiders
	Statistic
295.3 (306.3)	Total Yards	318.8 (236.2)
181.1 (183.4)	Passing Yards	212.1 (157.4)
19.0 (18.9)	Pass Completions	21.1 (19.8)
28.6 (28.0)	Pass Attempts	30.7 (30.1)
114.1 (122.9)	Rushing Yards	106.8 (78.8)
25.0 (26.3)	Rushing Attempts	25.6 (21.6)
16.6 (17.4)	First Downs	19.1 (14.7)