NFL matchup

09/13/20264:25 PMU.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis, MN

Packers4 – 3vsVikings6 – 0

Sharp side

✈️ Packers +1.5

Model value

Model trendGreen Bay Packers games: +3.53 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Green Bay Packers are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 46.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Green Bay Packers	22.4	50.5%
Minnesota Vikings	22.3	49.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Green Bay Packers	B-	B	B-
Minnesota Vikings	C	A	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

Packers vs. Vikings Preview: A Tight Spread, Different Team ProfilesGreen Bay’s higher-graded offense meets Minnesota’s more balanced profile in a Week 1 matchup with a tight spread and conflicting total trends.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+105+1.5 (-105)

MIN-125-1.5 (-115)

Total 46.5Over -102Under -118

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+115+2.0 (-108)

MIN-135-2.0 (-110)

Total 45.5Over -108Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+104+1.5 (-108)

MIN-127-1.5 (-113)

Total 45.5Over -112Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+113+2.0 (-107)

MIN-132-2.0 (-113)

Total 45.5Over -112Under -108

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+112+2.0 (-110)

MIN-132-2.0 (-110)

Total 45.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+114+1.5 (+100)

MIN-134-1.5 (-118)

Total 45.5Over -114Under -106

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+115+2.5 (-110)

MIN-135-2.5 (-110)

Total 46.0Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

GB+110+2.5 (-110)

MIN-130-2.5 (-110)

Total 45.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Green Bay Packers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS3–6–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/10/26	@ CHI	L 27–31	L -1.5	O 46.5
1/4/26	@ MIN	L 3–16	W +13.5	U 37.5
12/27/25	vs BAL	L 24–41	L -2.5	O 37.5
12/20/25	@ CHI	L 16–22	L +1.5	U 44.5
12/14/25	@ DEN	L 26–34	L -1.5	O 42.5
12/7/25	vs CHI	W 28–21	W -6.5	O 44.5
11/27/25	@ DET	W 31–24	—	O 48.5
11/23/25	vs MIN	W 23–6	W -6.5	U 41.5
11/16/25	@ NYG	W 27–20	L -7.5	O 42.5
11/10/25	vs PHI	L 7–10	L -1.5	U 44.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Vikings

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/4/26	vs GB	W 16–3	L -13.5	U 37.5
12/25/25	vs DET	W 23–10	W +7.5	U 45.5
12/21/25	@ NYG	W 16–13	W -2.5	U 41.5
12/14/25	@ DAL	W 34–26	W +5.5	O 47.5
12/7/25	vs WSH	W 31–0	W -1.5	U 43.5
11/30/25	@ SEA	L 0–26	L +12.5	U 42.5
11/23/25	@ GB	L 6–23	L +6.5	U 41.5
11/16/25	vs CHI	L 17–19	L -3	U 47.5
11/9/25	vs BAL	L 19–27	L +4.5	U 49.5
11/2/25	@ DET	W 27–24	W +9.5	O 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Packers and Vikings
	Statistic
335.5 (337.8)	Total Yards	287.2 (276.3)
215.4 (217.6)	Passing Yards	174.7 (168.8)
19.7 (19.8)	Pass Completions	17.8 (17.8)
30.0 (30.1)	Pass Attempts	28.9 (29.0)
120.0 (120.2)	Rushing Yards	112.5 (107.6)
28.8 (28.8)	Rushing Attempts	24.9 (24.0)
19.8 (19.9)	First Downs	18.2 (17.4)