NFL matchup

09/13/20264:25 PMLincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphia, PA

Commanders1 – 4 – 1vsEagles2 – 5

Sharp side

🏠 Eagles -6

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 43.5

Model value

Model trendWashington Commanders games: +3.53 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Washington Commanders went 5–1 (83.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Washington Commanders	19.6	25.6%
Philadelphia Eagles	26.7	74.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Washington Commanders	C+	C+	C+
Philadelphia Eagles	C-	A-	B-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.

Commanders vs. Eagles Preview: Breaking Down Philadelphia -6Philadelphia opens as a six-point home favorite over Washington, but similar rushing projections and contrasting late-2025 form complicate the Week 1 matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+200+6.0 (-110)

PHI-245-6.0 (-110)

Total 43.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+220+6.0 (-108)

PHI-275-6.0 (+100)

Total 44.0Over -108Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+210+6.0 (-114)

PHI-265-6.0 (-107)

Total 44.0Over -113Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+210+6.0 (-110)

PHI-260-6.0 (-108)

Total 43.5Over -118Under -102

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+220+6.0 (-110)

PHI-260-6.0 (-110)

Total 44.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+215+5.5 (-106)

PHI-260-5.5 (-114)

Total 44.5Over -105Under -115

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+225+6.5 (-115)

PHI-275-6.5 (-105)

Total 44.0Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+225+6.5 (-115)

PHI-275-6.5 (-105)

Total 44.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Washington Commanders

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–0O–U–P · 9/10 graded

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/4/26	@ PHI	W 24–17	W +3	O 38.5
12/25/25	vs DAL	L 23–30	W +8.5	O 50.5
12/20/25	vs PHI	L 18–29	L +7	O 43.5
12/14/25	@ NYG	W 29–21	W +3	O 45.5
12/7/25	@ MIN	L 0–31	L +1.5	U 43.5
11/30/25	vs DEN	L 26–27	W +6.5	—
11/16/25	vs MIA	L 13–16	L +2.5	U 46.5
11/9/25	vs DET	L 22–44	L +7.5	O 48.5
11/2/25	vs SEA	L 14–38	L +2.5	O 47.5
10/27/25	@ KC	L 7–28	L +11.5	U 48.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Philadelphia Eagles

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/11/26	vs SF	L 19–23	L -5.5	U 44.5
1/4/26	vs WSH	L 17–24	L -3	O 38.5
12/28/25	@ BUF	W 13–12	W +3.5	U 45.5
12/20/25	@ WSH	W 29–18	W -7	O 43.5
12/14/25	vs LV	W 31–0	W -12.5	U 36.5
12/8/25	@ LAC	L 19–22	L -1.5	U 41.5
11/28/25	vs CHI	L 15–24	L -7	U 43.5
11/23/25	@ DAL	L 21–24	L -2.5	U 48.5
11/16/25	vs DET	W 16–9	W -2.5	U 45.5
11/10/25	@ GB	W 10–7	W +1.5	U 44.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Commanders and Eagles
	Statistic
310.5 (317.1)	Total Yards	327.5 (311.5)
179.4 (182.5)	Passing Yards	194.3 (195.6)
16.3 (16.3)	Pass Completions	18.7 (18.8)
26.5 (26.5)	Pass Attempts	28.0 (29.9)
131.2 (134.6)	Rushing Yards	133.2 (115.9)
28.5 (28.9)	Rushing Attempts	29.8 (28.0)
18.6 (18.9)	First Downs	19.5 (17.9)