NFL matchup
09/14/20268:15 PMArrowhead StadiumKansas City, MO

Broncos0 – 0vsChiefs0 – 0

Sharp side
🏠 Chiefs -2.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 43.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Denver Broncos20.638.8%
Kansas City Chiefs23.761.2%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Denver BroncosB+AA-
Kansas City ChiefsAB+A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+114+2.5 (-110)
KC-135-2.5 (-110)
Total 43.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+115+2.0 (-108)
KC-135-2.0 (-110)
Total 43.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+110+2.5 (-112)
KC-134-2.5 (-109)
Total 43.5Over -105Under -115
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+113+2.5 (-109)
KC-134-2.5 (-109)
Total 43.5Over -112Under -108
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+120+2.5 (-115)
KC-140-2.5 (-105)
Total 43.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+112+2.5 (-115)
KC-132-2.5 (-105)
Total 43.5Over -112Under -108
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+115+2.5 (-110)
KC-135-2.5 (-110)
Total 43.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN+120+2.5 (-105)
KC-140-2.5 (-115)
Total 43.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Denver Broncos

Overall8–2–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–5–0O–U–P · 9/10 graded
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/25/26vs NEL 7–10W +3.5U 43.5
1/17/26vs BUFW 33–30W -1.5O 45.5
1/4/26vs LACW 19–3W -15.5U 37.5
12/25/25@ KCW 20–13L -13.5U 37.5
12/21/25vs JAXL 20–34L -3.5O 46.5
12/14/25vs GBW 34–26W +1.5O 42.5
12/7/25@ LVW 24–17L -8.5O 40.5
11/30/25@ WSHW 27–26L -6.5
11/16/25vs KCW 22–19W +4.5U 45.5
11/6/25vs LVW 10–7L -9.5U 41.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Kansas City Chiefs

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS2–7–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U1–9–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/4/26@ LVL 12–14L -3.5U 35.5
12/25/25vs DENL 13–20W +13.5U 37.5
12/21/25@ TENL 9–26L -3.5U 37.5
12/14/25vs LACL 13–16L -5.5U 41.5
12/7/25vs HOUL 10–20L -4.5U 41.5
11/27/25@ DALL 28–31O 53.5
11/23/25vs INDW 23–20L -4.5U 49.5
11/16/25@ DENL 19–22L -4.5U 45.5
11/2/25@ BUFL 21–28L -2.5U 53.5
10/27/25vs WSHW 28–7W -11.5U 48.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Broncos and Chiefs
Statistic
21.9 (22.6)Pass Completions22.3 (21.2)
35.4 (36.1)Pass Attempts34.9 (34.1)
209.1 (223.4)Passing Yards230.6 (211.9)
26.0 (26.2)Rushing Attempts27.0 (25.8)
106.9 (112.0)Rushing Yards113.4 (107.1)
316.0 (335.4)Total Yards344.1 (319.0)
17.9 (19.3)First Downs21.5 (19.9)

Current depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Denver Broncos
  • QBBo Nix
    Player props12 markets
    1st Half Total Passing Yards106.5OverUnder
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards6.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Passing Yards44.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards0.5OverUnder
    Total Carries3.5OverUnder
    Total Pass Completions21.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Attempts34.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Interceptions0.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Plus Rushing Yards248.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Touchdowns1.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Yards229.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Yards16.5OverUnder
  • RBJ.K. Dobbins
    Player props6 markets
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards24.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards11.5OverUnder
    Total Carries12.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards4.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards58.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Yards50.5OverUnder
  • RBRJ Harvey
    Player props8 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards5.5OverUnder
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards7.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards0.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards2.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards16.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions2.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards39.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Yards18.5OverUnder
  • WRJaylen Waddle
    Player props4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards24.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards8.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards56.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions4.5OverUnder
  • WRCourtland Sutton
    Player props4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards17.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards1.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards42.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions3.5OverUnder
  • WRMarvin Mims Jr.
  • TEEvan Engram
    Player props2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards22.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions2.5OverUnder
Kansas City Chiefs
  • QBPatrick Mahomes
    Player props12 markets
    1st Half Total Passing Yards110.5OverUnder
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards6.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Passing Yards45.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards0.5OverUnder
    Total Carries3.5OverUnder
    Total Pass Completions21.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Attempts32.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Interceptions0.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Plus Rushing Yards238.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Touchdowns1.5OverUnder
    Total Passing Yards220.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Yards15.5OverUnder
  • RBKenneth Walker III
    Player props9 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards7.5OverUnder
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards29.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards0.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards13.5OverUnder
    Total Carries16.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards17.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions3.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards82.5OverUnder
    Total Rushing Yards60.5OverUnder
  • RBEmmett Johnson
  • WRRashee Rice
    Player props4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards26.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards9.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards55.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions5.5OverUnder
  • WRXavier Worthy
    Player props2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards36.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions3.5OverUnder
  • WRTyquan Thornton
    Player props2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards18.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions1.5OverUnder
  • TETravis Kelce
    Player props4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards19.5OverUnder
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards4.5OverUnder
    Total Receiving Yards42.5OverUnder
    Total Receptions4.5OverUnder

Player availability

Injury report

Denver Broncos
  • LBJonathon CooperPersonalOut
    Cooper pleaded not guilty to five charges of domestic violence in a Douglas County (Colo.) courtroom Monday, Jeff Legwold of ESPN.com reports.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 7:50 PM EDT
  • GNick GargiuloKnee - ACLOut
    Gargiulo (knee) was moved to the reserve/PUP list by the Broncos on Sunday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 7:24 PM EDT
  • TECaleb LohnerLower BodyInjured Reserve
    Lohner (lower body) was placed on injured reserve by the Broncos on Sunday with a designation to return, Aric DiLalla of the team's official website reports.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 12:50 PM EDT
  • OTFrank CrumUndisclosedInjured Reserve
    Crum (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve with a designation to return by the Broncos on Sunday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT
  • LBLevelle BaileyLegInjured Reserve
    Bailey (leg) reverted to the Broncos' injured-reserve list Friday, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports.
    Updated: Aug 21, 2026 at 8:29 PM EDT
  • DEMatt HenningsenAchillesInjured Reserve
  • CMichael DeiterQuadricepsInjured Reserve
Kansas City Chiefs
  • SChamarri ConnerKneeOut
    Connor (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Broncos, Matt Derrick of ChiefsDigest.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 2:12 PM EDT
  • OTJosh SimmonsBackOut
    Simmons (back) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Broncos, Matt Derrick of ChiefsDigest.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 2:14 PM EDT
  • DTOmarr Norman-LottKnee - ACLOut
    Norman-Lott (knee) was moved to the reserve/PUP list by the Chiefs on Sunday.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 1:45 PM EDT
  • WRJeff CaldwellKneeInjured Reserve
    Caldwell (knee) reverted to the Chiefs' injured reserve list Tuesday, Charles Goldman of AtoZSports.com reports.
    Updated: Aug 25, 2026 at 7:12 PM EDT
  • WRJimmy HolidayUndisclosedInjured Reserve
    Holiday (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Chiefs on Sunday.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT

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