NFL matchup

09/24/20268:15 PMLambeau FieldGreen Bay, WI

Falcons3 – 4vsPackers4 – 3

Sharp side

🏠 Packers -4.5

Model value

Model trendGreen Bay Packers games: +3.53 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Green Bay Packers are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 42.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Falcons	20.9	29.4%
Green Bay Packers	26.8	70.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Atlanta Falcons	B	C	B-
Green Bay Packers	A-	B	B+

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Lambeau Field in Green Bay, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.

Falcons vs. Packers Preview: Can Atlanta’s Ground Game Keep It Close?Atlanta’s projected rushing edge offers a path to staying competitive, but Green Bay’s stronger passing outlook and home-field advantage make ball security and penalties central to this Week 3 matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+195+4.5 (-108)

GB-238-4.5 (-112)

Total 42.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+210+4.5 (+100)

GB-250-4.5 (-110)

Total 43.0Over -110Under -108

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+210+5.0 (-112)

GB-265-5.0 (-109)

Total 43.0Over -112Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+199+4.5 (-104)

GB-240-4.5 (-115)

Total 42.5Over -116Under -103

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+200+4.5 (-110)

GB-235-4.5 (-110)

Total 43.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+198+4.5 (-105)

GB-240-4.5 (-115)

Total 43.5Over -102Under -120

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+210+5.5 (-110)

GB-260-5.5 (-110)

Total 43.0Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

ATL+195+4.5 (-110)

GB-230-4.5 (-110)

Total 43.5Over +100Under -120

Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Falcons

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/20/26	vs CAR	L 3–34	L +2.5	U 43.5
9/13/26	@ PIT	L 13–20	L +6.5	U 40.5
1/4/26	vs NO	W 19–17	L -3.5	U 43.5
12/29/25	vs LAR	W 27–24	W +7.5	O 48.5
12/21/25	@ ARI	W 26–19	W -2.5	U 48.5
12/11/25	@ TB	W 29–28	W +6	O 43.5
12/7/25	vs SEA	L 9–37	L +7	O 44.5
11/30/25	@ NYJ	L 24–27	L -3	O 38.5
11/23/25	@ NO	W 24–10	W +1.5	U 40.5
11/16/25	vs CAR	L 27–30	L -4.5	O 41.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Green Bay Packers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS3–6–0W–L–P · 9/10 gradedO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/20/26	@ NYJ	W 20–17	L -3.5	U 44.5
9/13/26	@ MIN	L 22–39	L +2.5	O 46.5
1/10/26	@ CHI	L 27–31	L -1.5	O 46.5
1/4/26	@ MIN	L 3–16	W +13.5	U 37.5
12/27/25	vs BAL	L 24–41	L -2.5	O 37.5
12/20/25	@ CHI	L 16–22	L +1.5	U 44.5
12/14/25	@ DEN	L 26–34	L -1.5	O 42.5
12/7/25	vs CHI	W 28–21	W -6.5	O 44.5
11/27/25	@ DET	W 31–24	—	O 48.5
11/23/25	vs MIN	W 23–6	W -6.5	U 41.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Falcons and Packers
	Statistic
325.8 (323.1)	Total Yards	364.6 (340.8)
200.1 (198.3)	Passing Yards	247.7 (224.8)
18.7 (18.7)	Pass Completions	21.0 (19.8)
30.8 (30.8)	Pass Attempts	32.5 (31.1)
125.7 (124.8)	Rushing Yards	116.9 (115.9)
28.2 (28.1)	Rushing Attempts	27.2 (27.5)
19.1 (19.0)	First Downs	20.9 (20.0)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Atlanta Falcons

QBMichael Penix Jr.
Player props9 markets
1st Half Total Passing Yards94.5
1st Quarter Total Passing Yards40.5
Total Pass Completions19.5
Total Passing Attempts30.5
Total Passing Interceptions0.5
Total Passing Plus Rushing Yards214.5
Total Passing Touchdowns1.5
Total Passing Yards206.5
Total Rushing Yards5.5
RBBijan Robinson
Player props9 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards15.5
1st Half Total Rushing Yards37.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards5.5
1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards18.5
Total Carries18.5
Total Receiving Yards36.5
Total Receptions4.5
Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards121.5
Total Rushing Yards78.5
RBBrian Robinson Jr.
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Rushing Yards10.5
1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards4.5
Total Carries6.5
Total Rushing Yards24.5
WRDrake London
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards31.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards12.5
Total Receiving Yards67.5
Total Receptions5.5
WRJahan Dotson
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards1.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards0.5
Total Receiving Yards17.5
Total Receptions1.5
WROlamide Zaccheaus
Player props2 markets
Total Receiving Yards10.5
Total Receptions1.5
TEKyle Pitts Sr.
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards15.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards5.5
Total Receiving Yards36.5
Total Receptions3.5

Green Bay Packers

QBJordan Love
Player props12 markets
1st Half Total Passing Yards120.5
1st Half Total Rushing Yards2.5
1st Quarter Total Passing Yards52.5
1st Quarter Total Rushing Yards0.5
Total Carries2.5
Total Pass Completions19.5
Total Passing Attempts32.5
Total Passing Interceptions0.5
Total Passing Plus Rushing Yards243.5
Total Passing Touchdowns1.5
Total Passing Yards231.5
Total Rushing Yards8.5
RBMarShawn Lloyd
Player props6 markets
1st Half Total Rushing Yards10.5
Total Carries6.5
Total Receiving Yards5.5
Total Receptions1.5
Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards34.5
Total Rushing Yards25.5
RBChris Brooks
Player props6 markets
1st Half Total Rushing Yards5.5
Total Carries4.5
Total Receiving Yards6.5
Total Receptions1.5
Total Rushing Plus Receiving Yards23.5
Total Rushing Yards14.5
WRChristian Watson
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards35.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards14.5
Total Receiving Yards70.5
Total Receptions4.5
WRMatthew Golden
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards25.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards8.5
Total Receiving Yards55.5
Total Receptions4.5
WRSkyy Moore
Player props2 markets
Total Receiving Yards10.5
Total Receptions1.5
TETucker Kraft
Player props4 markets
1st Half Total Receiving Yards21.5
1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards7.5
Total Receiving Yards45.5
Total Receptions3.5